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The Impact of Gavi on Vaccination Rates: Regression Discontinuity Evidence - Working Paper 394

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  • Sarah Dykstra, Amanda Glassman, Charles Kenny, and Justin Sandefur

Abstract

Since 2001, an aid consortium known as Gavi has accounted for over half of vaccination expenditure in the 75 eligible countries with an initial per capita GNI below $1,000. Regression discontinuity (RD) estimates show aid significantly displaced other immunization efforts and failed to increase vaccination rates for diseases covered by cheap, existing vaccines. For some newer and more expensive vaccines, i.e., Hib and rotavirus, we found large effects on vaccination and limited fungibility, though statistical significance is not robust. These RD estimates apply to middle-income countries near Gavi's eligibility threshold, and cannot rule out differential effects for the poorest countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Sarah Dykstra, Amanda Glassman, Charles Kenny, and Justin Sandefur, 2015. "The Impact of Gavi on Vaccination Rates: Regression Discontinuity Evidence - Working Paper 394," Working Papers 394, Center for Global Development.
    • Handle: RePEc:cgd:wpaper:394
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    File URL: http://www.cgdev.org/publication/impact-gavi-vaccination-rates-regression-discontinuity-evidence-working-paper-394
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    Cited by:

    1. Morton, Alec & Arulselvan, Ashwin & Thomas, Ranjeeta, 2018. "Allocation rules for global donors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101210, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Morton, Alec & Arulselvan, Ashwin & Thomas, Ranjeeta, 2018. "Allocation rules for global donors," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 67-75.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    aid; vaccination; immunization; fungibility; regression discontinuity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F35 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Aid
    • H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health
    • I15 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Economic Development
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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