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Sustainable Systems Transformations away from the Permanent Multi-Crisis

Author

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  • Phoebe Koundouri

    (Dept. of International and European Economic Studies, Athens University of Economics and Business)

  • Angelos Alamanos
  • Giannis Arampatzidis
  • Lydia Papadaki

Abstract

The current "multi-crisis" is not a set of separate shocks but a tightly interconnected system of climate and biodiversity pressures, food-energy-water insecurity, macroeconomic fragility, widening inequalities, rapid urbanization, and geopolitical stress. While the SDGs provide an integrated blueprint for action, progress remains insufficient, pointing to a persistent gap between global ambition and operational delivery. This study argues that closing this gap requires a practical Global Commons for implementation, one that can translate policy choices and investments into measurable outcomes, account for cross-sector feedbacks, and support locally feasible pathways. We present the Global Climate Hub (GCH), an AE4RIA-SDSN anchored initiative that combines physical and socio-economic modelling with policy-relevant modelling and participatory co-design. The GCH methodology is organized in three stages: (i) continuous SDG measurement through harmonized data pipelines, spatial diagnostics, and digital twins; (ii) co-designed transformation pathways generated through living labs and coupled model chains (energy, land use, water risk, transport, health, and beyond-GDP welfare and trade outcomes) to quantify synergies, trade-offs, and distributional effects; and (iii) financing, equity, and capacity-building mechanisms that connect pathways to investable roadmaps and strengthen the skills required for sustained implementation. By integrating quantification with stakeholder ownership and open decision-support tools, the GCH positions modelling as a practical instrument for policy prototyping, learning, and course correction. The approach is directly relevant to the evidence mandate of the 2027 Global Sustainable Development Report, offering a pathway-oriented basis for accelerating SDG implementation to 2030 and informing longer-term transformation beyond it.

Suggested Citation

  • Phoebe Koundouri & Angelos Alamanos & Giannis Arampatzidis & Lydia Papadaki, 2026. "Sustainable Systems Transformations away from the Permanent Multi-Crisis," DEOS Working Papers 2601, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  • Handle: RePEc:aue:wpaper:2601
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    File URL: http://wpa.deos.aueb.gr/docs/2601.SystemsTransformations.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christian Gollier & Phoebe Koundouri & Theologos Pantelidis, 2008. "Declining discount rates: Economic justifications and implications for long-run policy [‘Regime switches in interest rates’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 23(56), pages 758-795.
    2. repec:bla:ecpoli:v:23:y:2008:i::p:757-795 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Jeffrey D. Sachs & Guido Schmidt-Traub & Mariana Mazzucato & Dirk Messner & Nebojsa Nakicenovic & Johan Rockström, 2019. "Six Transformations to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 2(9), pages 805-814, September.
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    1. Phoebe Koundouri & Angelos Alamanos & Giannis Arampatzidis & Anna Triantafyllidou & Dimitris Raptis, 2026. "Decarbonization under seasonal pressure: Integrated Energy-Water-Economy modelling of tourism-driven peaks in Greece and Cyprus," DEOS Working Papers 2607, Athens University of Economics and Business.

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