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Reinforcement Learning with Hawkes-Structured Networks for Market Making

Author

Listed:
  • Fernando Acero
  • Philipp Plank
  • Yufei Zhang

Abstract

Market making under realistic order-flow dynamics is challenging due to the clustered, self-exciting nature of order arrivals, which are naturally modeled by non-Markovian Hawkes processes. We propose a model-free reinforcement learning (RL) framework for market making with general Hawkes order-flow dynamics. We first establish non-asymptotic performance bounds that quantify the loss incurred by approximating the infinite-dimensional Hawkes state using a finite collection of exponentially weighted features. Guided by this analysis, we introduce the Hawkes-Structured Network (HSN), a novel neural architecture that encodes historical order flow through a learnable mixture-of-exponentials filter. HSN is trained end-to-end using model-free RL, jointly optimizing the feature representation and quoting policy directly from reward feedback. Experiments on single- and multi-asset market-making problems with mixture-of-exponentials, power-law, and regime-switching kernels demonstrate that HSN outperforms general-purpose neural architectures, achieving higher trading rewards while implicitly recovering the underlying order-flow intensities.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Acero & Philipp Plank & Yufei Zhang, 2026. "Reinforcement Learning with Hawkes-Structured Networks for Market Making," Papers 2610.16524, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2610.16524
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    References listed on IDEAS

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