IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2309.04557.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Regret-Optimal Federated Transfer Learning for Kernel Regression with Applications in American Option Pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Xuwei Yang
  • Anastasis Kratsios
  • Florian Krach
  • Matheus Grasselli
  • Aurelien Lucchi

Abstract

We propose an optimal iterative scheme for federated transfer learning, where a central planner has access to datasets ${\cal D}_1,\dots,{\cal D}_N$ for the same learning model $f_{\theta}$. Our objective is to minimize the cumulative deviation of the generated parameters $\{\theta_i(t)\}_{t=0}^T$ across all $T$ iterations from the specialized parameters $\theta^\star_{1},\ldots,\theta^\star_N$ obtained for each dataset, while respecting the loss function for the model $f_{\theta(T)}$ produced by the algorithm upon halting. We only allow for continual communication between each of the specialized models (nodes/agents) and the central planner (server), at each iteration (round). For the case where the model $f_{\theta}$ is a finite-rank kernel regression, we derive explicit updates for the regret-optimal algorithm. By leveraging symmetries within the regret-optimal algorithm, we further develop a nearly regret-optimal heuristic that runs with $\mathcal{O}(Np^2)$ fewer elementary operations, where $p$ is the dimension of the parameter space. Additionally, we investigate the adversarial robustness of the regret-optimal algorithm showing that an adversary which perturbs $q$ training pairs by at-most $\varepsilon>0$, across all training sets, cannot reduce the regret-optimal algorithm's regret by more than $\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon q \bar{N}^{1/2})$, where $\bar{N}$ is the aggregate number of training pairs. To validate our theoretical findings, we conduct numerical experiments in the context of American option pricing, utilizing a randomly generated finite-rank kernel.

Suggested Citation

  • Xuwei Yang & Anastasis Kratsios & Florian Krach & Matheus Grasselli & Aurelien Lucchi, 2023. "Regret-Optimal Federated Transfer Learning for Kernel Regression with Applications in American Option Pricing," Papers 2309.04557, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2309.04557
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2309.04557
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michelle Lowry & G. William Schwert, 2002. "IPO Market Cycles: Bubbles or Sequential Learning?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1171-1200, June.
    2. Calypso Herrera & Florian Krach & Pierre Ruyssen & Josef Teichmann, 2021. "Optimal Stopping via Randomized Neural Networks," Papers 2104.13669, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    3. Ruimeng Hu, 2020. "Deep learning for ranking response surfaces with applications to optimal stopping problems," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(9), pages 1567-1581, September.
    4. Ruimeng Hu, 2019. "Deep Learning for Ranking Response Surfaces with Applications to Optimal Stopping Problems," Papers 1901.03478, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
    5. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt43n1k4jb, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    6. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 113-147.
    7. Zou, Hui, 2006. "The Adaptive Lasso and Its Oracle Properties," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 101, pages 1418-1429, December.
    8. Sebastian Becker & Patrick Cheridito & Arnulf Jentzen & Timo Welti, 2019. "Solving high-dimensional optimal stopping problems using deep learning," Papers 1908.01602, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    9. Anna Aksamit & Shuoqing Deng & Jan Obłój & Xiaolu Tan, 2019. "The robust pricing–hedging duality for American options in discrete time financial markets," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 861-897, July.
    10. Lukas Gonon, 2021. "Random feature neural networks learn Black-Scholes type PDEs without curse of dimensionality," Papers 2106.08900, arXiv.org.
    11. Zhaoxu Hou & Jan Obłój, 2018. "Robust pricing–hedging dualities in continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 511-567, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. A. Max Reppen & H. Mete Soner & Valentin Tissot-Daguette, 2022. "Deep Stochastic Optimization in Finance," Papers 2205.04604, arXiv.org.
    2. Sebastian Becker & Patrick Cheridito & Arnulf Jentzen, 2020. "Pricing and Hedging American-Style Options with Deep Learning," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-12, July.
    3. Erhan Bayraktar & Qi Feng & Zhaoyu Zhang, 2022. "Deep Signature Algorithm for Multi-dimensional Path-Dependent Options," Papers 2211.11691, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    4. A. Max Reppen & H. Mete Soner & Valentin Tissot-Daguette, 2023. "Deep stochastic optimization in finance," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 91-111, March.
    5. Antoine Jacquier & Zan Zuric, 2023. "Random neural networks for rough volatility," Papers 2305.01035, arXiv.org.
    6. Yuchao Dong, 2022. "Randomized Optimal Stopping Problem in Continuous time and Reinforcement Learning Algorithm," Papers 2208.02409, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    7. Lukas Gonon, 2022. "Deep neural network expressivity for optimal stopping problems," Papers 2210.10443, arXiv.org.
    8. Beatriz Salvador & Cornelis W. Oosterlee & Remco van der Meer, 2020. "Financial Option Valuation by Unsupervised Learning with Artificial Neural Networks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, December.
    9. Zhengqing Zhou & Guanyang Wang & Jose Blanchet & Peter W. Glynn, 2021. "Unbiased Optimal Stopping via the MUSE," Papers 2106.02263, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    10. A. Max Reppen & H. Mete Soner & Valentin Tissot-Daguette, 2022. "Neural Optimal Stopping Boundary," Papers 2205.04595, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    11. Mike Ludkovski, 2020. "mlOSP: Towards a Unified Implementation of Regression Monte Carlo Algorithms," Papers 2012.00729, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
    12. Christian Bayer & Denis Belomestny & Paul Hager & Paolo Pigato & John Schoenmakers, 2020. "Randomized optimal stopping algorithms and their convergence analysis," Papers 2002.00816, arXiv.org.
    13. Fabian Dickmann & Nikolaus Schweizer, 2014. "Faster Comparison of Stopping Times by Nested Conditional Monte Carlo," Papers 1402.0243, arXiv.org.
    14. Work, James & Hauer, Grant & Luckert, M.K. (Marty), 2018. "What ethanol prices would induce growers to switch from agriculture to poplar in Alberta? A multiple options approach," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 51-62.
    15. Kathrin Glau & Ricardo Pachon & Christian Potz, 2019. "Speed-up credit exposure calculations for pricing and risk management," Papers 1912.01280, arXiv.org.
    16. Dong, Wenfeng & Kang, Boda, 2019. "Analysis of a multiple year gas sales agreement with make-up, carry-forward and indexation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 76-96.
    17. Pringles, Rolando & Olsina, Fernando & Penizzotto, Franco, 2020. "Valuation of defer and relocation options in photovoltaic generation investments by a stochastic simulation-based method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 846-864.
    18. Marta Biancardi & Giovanni Villani, 2017. "Robust Monte Carlo Method for R&D Real Options Valuation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(3), pages 481-498, March.
    19. Gabriel J Power & Charli D. Tandja M. & Josée Bastien & Philippe Grégoire, 2015. "Measuring infrastructure investment option value," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 16(1), pages 49-72, January.
    20. Stentoft, Lars, 2005. "Pricing American options when the underlying asset follows GARCH processes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 576-611, September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2309.04557. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.