IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2001.11247.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Deep combinatorial optimisation for optimal stopping time problems : application to swing options pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas Deschatre
  • Joseph Mikael

Abstract

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the derivation of a dynamic programming principle nor a backward stochastic differential equation. Unlike continuous optimization where automatic differentiation is used directly, we propose a likelihood ratio method for gradient computation. Numerical tests are done on the pricing of American and swing options. The proposed algorithm succeeds in pricing high dimensional American and swing options in a reasonable computation time, which is not possible with classical algorithms.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Deschatre & Joseph Mikael, 2020. "Deep combinatorial optimisation for optimal stopping time problems : application to swing options pricing," Papers 2001.11247, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2001.11247
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2001.11247
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alfredo Ibáñez, 2004. "Valuation by Simulation of Contingent Claims with Multiple Early Exercise Opportunities," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 223-248, April.
    2. René Carmona & Nizar Touzi, 2008. "Optimal Multiple Stopping And Valuation Of Swing Options," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(2), pages 239-268, April.
    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4273 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Christophe Barrera-Esteve & Florent Bergeret & Charles Dossal & Emmanuel Gobet & Asma Meziou & Rémi Munos & Damien Reboul-Salze, 2006. "Numerical Methods for the Pricing of Swing Options: A Stochastic Control Approach," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 517-540, December.
    5. Bouchard, Bruno & Chassagneux, Jean-François, 2008. "Discrete-time approximation for continuously and discretely reflected BSDEs," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(12), pages 2269-2293, December.
    6. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11531 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Giuseppe Cordoni & Luca Di Persio & Yilun Jiang, 2020. "A Bank Salvage Model by Impulse Stochastic Controls," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-31, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dong, Wenfeng & Kang, Boda, 2019. "Analysis of a multiple year gas sales agreement with make-up, carry-forward and indexation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 76-96.
    2. Christian Bender & Nikolai Dokuchaev, 2013. "A First-Order BSPDE for Swing Option Pricing," Papers 1305.3988, arXiv.org.
    3. J. Lars Kirkby & Shi-Jie Deng, 2019. "Swing Option Pricing By Dynamic Programming With B-Spline Density Projection," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(08), pages 1-53, December.
    4. Nikolay Aleksandrov & Raphael Espinoza, 2011. "Optimal Oil Extraction as a Multiple Real Option," OxCarre Working Papers 064, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    5. Kovacevic, Raimund M. & Pflug, Georg Ch., 2014. "Electricity swing option pricing by stochastic bilevel optimization: A survey and new approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(2), pages 389-403.
    6. M. Basei & A. Cesaroni & T. Vargiolu, 2013. "Optimal exercise of swing contracts in energy markets: an integral constrained stochastic optimal control problem," Papers 1307.1320, arXiv.org.
    7. Marie Bernhart & Huy^en Pham & Peter Tankov & Xavier Warin, 2011. "Swing Options Valuation: a BSDE with Constrained Jumps Approach," Papers 1101.0975, arXiv.org.
    8. Tiziano De Angelis & Yerkin Kitapbayev, 2018. "On the Optimal Exercise Boundaries of Swing Put Options," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 43(1), pages 252-274, February.
    9. N. Aleksandrov & B. Hambly, 2010. "A dual approach to multiple exercise option problems under constraints," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 71(3), pages 503-533, June.
    10. Tiziano De Angelis & Yerkin Kitapbayev, 2014. "On the optimal exercise boundaries of swing put options," Papers 1407.6860, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2017.
    11. Hendrik Kohrs & Hermann Mühlichen & Benjamin R. Auer & Frank Schuhmacher, 2019. "Pricing and risk of swing contracts in natural gas markets," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 77-167, April.
    12. Roberto Daluiso & Emanuele Nastasi & Andrea Pallavicini & Giulio Sartorelli, 2020. "Pricing commodity swing options," Papers 2001.08906, arXiv.org.
    13. Kourouvakalis, Stylianos, 2008. "Méthodes numériques pour la valorisation d'options swings et autres problèmes sur les matières premières," Economics Thesis from University Paris Dauphine, Paris Dauphine University, number 123456789/116 edited by Geman, Hélyette.
    14. Fujii, Masaaki & Takahashi, Akihiko, 2019. "Solving backward stochastic differential equations with quadratic-growth drivers by connecting the short-term expansions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(5), pages 1492-1532.
    15. Soren Christensen & Albrecht Irle & Stephan Jurgens, 2012. "Optimal multiple stopping with random waiting times," Papers 1205.1966, arXiv.org.
    16. Giorgia Callegaro & Alessandro Gnoatto & Martino Grasselli, 2021. "A Fully Quantization-based Scheme for FBSDEs," Working Papers 07/2021, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    17. Marcelo G. Figueroa, 2006. "Pricing Multiple Interruptible-Swing Contracts," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0606, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    18. Liangchen Li & Michael Ludkovski, 2018. "Stochastic Switching Games," Papers 1807.03893, arXiv.org.
    19. Ben Zineb Tarik & Gobet Emmanuel, 2013. "Preliminary control variates to improve empirical regression methods," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 19(4), pages 331-354, December.
    20. Jean-François Chassagneux & Romuald Elie & Idris Kharroubi, 2015. "When terminal facelift enforces delta constraints," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 329-362, April.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2001.11247. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.