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Robust Classification of Financial Risk

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  • Suproteem K. Sarkar
  • Kojin Oshiba
  • Daniel Giebisch
  • Yaron Singer

Abstract

Algorithms are increasingly common components of high-impact decision-making, and a growing body of literature on adversarial examples in laboratory settings indicates that standard machine learning models are not robust. This suggests that real-world systems are also susceptible to manipulation or misclassification, which especially poses a challenge to machine learning models used in financial services. We use the loan grade classification problem to explore how machine learning models are sensitive to small changes in user-reported data, using adversarial attacks documented in the literature and an original, domain-specific attack. Our work shows that a robust optimization algorithm can build models for financial services that are resistant to misclassification on perturbations. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study of adversarial attacks and defenses for deep learning in financial services.

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  • Suproteem K. Sarkar & Kojin Oshiba & Daniel Giebisch & Yaron Singer, 2018. "Robust Classification of Financial Risk," Papers 1811.11079, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1811.11079
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wei Bao & Jun Yue & Yulei Rao, 2017. "A deep learning framework for financial time series using stacked autoencoders and long-short term memory," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(7), pages 1-24, July.
    2. Thomas R. Cook & Aaron Smalter Hall, 2017. "Macroeconomic Indicator Forecasting with Deep Neural Networks," Research Working Paper RWP 17-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
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