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Identity, Policy Satisfaction, Perceived Character: What factors explain President Duterte's popularity?

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  • Geoffrey M. Ducanes

    (Department of Economics, Ateneo de Manila University)

  • Steven Rood

    (Social Weather Stations)

  • Jorge Tigno

    (University of the Philippines)

Abstract

The persistently high satisfaction ratings of President Duterte, despite various perceived policy missteps, and in stark deviation from the pattern for previous Presidents, have puzzled pundits and scholars alike. Using three waves of the Social Weather Stations' Social Weather Survey, and utilizing ordered logit regression, this study examines the extent to which identity factors, policy satisfaction, and perceptions of the character of the President could explain this ‘puzzle’. The three survey waves correspond to the beginning of President Duterte’s term, the period when he obtained his lowest net satisfaction rating, and the most recent available data. The study finds that identity factors, policy satisfaction, and perception of the President’s character all contribute to explaining his high satisfaction rating. Perception of the President’s character appears to be the most important in terms of predictive power and distinguishing those who are satisfied from those who are dissatisfied with the President.

Suggested Citation

  • Geoffrey M. Ducanes & Steven Rood & Jorge Tigno, 2023. "Identity, Policy Satisfaction, Perceived Character: What factors explain President Duterte's popularity?," Department of Economics, Ateneo de Manila University, Working Paper Series 202305, Department of Economics, Ateneo de Manila University.
    • Handle: RePEc:agy:dpaper:202305
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    File URL: https://www.ateneo.edu/sites/default/files/2023-08/WP%202023-05.pdf
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