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Future Perspective of China's Feed Demand and Supply During its Fast Transition Period of Food Consumption

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  • Dong, Wanlu
  • Wang, Xiaobing
  • Yang, Jun

Abstract

China has experienced the dramatic change of food consumption pattern in the last three decades. However, there are different opinions toward the future change of this process. By adopting the well-developed Chinese agricultural partial equilibrium model-CAPiM model, the demands on livestock products and main feed crops in 2011-2031 are predicted and analyzed. It is found that China's per capita consumption of livestock products will continue to rise in 2011-2031, even though its growth rate will slow down gradually. Meanwhile, the expansion of livestock production will pose great challenges on feed supply in China. More accurately, it is feed security instead of grain security confronted by China in the future. Based on the findings, the related policy implications are proposed.

Suggested Citation

  • Dong, Wanlu & Wang, Xiaobing & Yang, Jun, 2015. "Future Perspective of China's Feed Demand and Supply During its Fast Transition Period of Food Consumption," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212716, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae15:212716
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.212716
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    Cited by:

    1. Jiaqi Hou & Mingxiao Li & Xuhui Mao & Yan Hao & Jie Ding & Dongming Liu & Beidou Xi & Hongliang Liu, 2017. "Response of microbial community of organic-matter-impoverished arable soil to long-term application of soil conditioner derived from dynamic rapid fermentation of food waste," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(4), pages 1-15, April.
    2. Zemin Zhang & Changhe Lu, 2020. "Clustering Analysis of Soybean Production to Understand its Spatiotemporal Dynamics in the North China Plain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-15, July.
    3. Zhong, Shen & Li, Junwei & Qu, Yi, 2022. "Green total factor productivity of dairy cow in China: Key facts from scale and regional sector," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    4. Yang, Shuhui & Li, Zhongkai & Zhou, Jianlin & Gao, Yancheng & Cui, Xuefeng, 2024. "Evolving patterns of agricultural production space in China: A network-based approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 121-134.
    5. Li, H. & Wang, X. & Ren, Y., 2018. "Family Income and Health: Evidence from Food Consumption in China," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277074, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Zhe Zhao & Yuping Bai & Xiangzheng Deng & Jiancheng Chen & Jian Hou & Zhihui Li, 2020. "Changes in Livestock Grazing Efficiency Incorporating Grassland Productivity: The Case of Hulun Buir, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-13, November.
    7. Zhao, Zhe & Wang, Pei & Chen, Jiancheng & Zhang, Fan, 2021. "Economic spillover effect of grass-based livestock husbandry on agricultural production—A case study in Hulun Buir, China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    8. Jianzhai Wu & Jianhua Zhang & Shengwei Wang & Fantao Kong, 2016. "Assessment of Food Security in China: A New Perspective Based on Production-Consumption Coordination," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-14, March.
    9. Yuanyuan Chen & Changhe Lu, 2019. "Future Grain Consumption Trends and Implications on Grain Security in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-14, September.
    10. Tian, Junyan & Shen, Jinhu & Umetsu, Chieko, 2021. "China's Bovine Meat Import Surge and Its Drivers: The Mixed Gravity and Import Demand Model Approach," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 314952, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    11. Mingxi Han & Wusheng Yu & Francesco Clora, 2022. "Boom and Bust in China’s Pig Sector during 2018–2021: Recent Recovery from the ASF Shocks and Longer-Term Sustainability Considerations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Livestock Production/Industries;

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