Report NEP-FOR-2025-10-06

This is the archive for NEP-FOR, a report on new working papers in the area of Forecasting. Malte Knüppel issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-FOR

The following items were announced in this report:

• Gergely Ganics & Lluc Puig Codina, 2035. "Simple Tests for the Correct Specification of Conditional Predictive Densities," Working Papers 2535, Banco de España.
• Xiyuan Liu & Zongwu Cai & Liangjun Su, 2025. "Time-varying Factor-augmented Forecasting Models with Variable Selection," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202515, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2025.
• Rehim Kılıç, 2025. "Virtue or Mirage? Complexity in Exchange Rate Prediction," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-089, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Saiz, Lorena & Magro, Manuel Medina, 2025. "What can newspaper articles reveal about the euro area economy?," Working Paper Series 3122, European Central Bank.
• Xu, R. & Fan, Q., 2025. "Single-Index Quantile Factor Model with Observed Characteristics," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2562, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
• Matteo Aquilina & Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & Gaston Gelos & Taejin Park & Fernando Perez-Cruz, 2025. "Harnessing artificial intelligence for monitoring financial markets," BIS Working Papers 1291, Bank for International Settlements.
• Julia Hellstrand & Linus Andersson & Lars Dommermuth & Peter Fallesen & Ari Klængur Jónsson & Marika Jalovaara & Mikko Myrskylä, 2025. "Growing divergences: a research note forecasting ultimate childlessness by education in the Nordic countries," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2025-029, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
• Simons, J. R. & Chen, Y. & Brunner, E. & French, E., 2025. "Forecasting Dementia Incidence," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2563, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
• Gallego-Moll, Carlos & Carrasco-Ribelles, Lucía A. & Casajuana, Marc & Maynou, Laia & Arocena, Pablo & Violán, Concepción & Zabaleta-Del-Olmo, Edurne, 2025. "Predicting healthcare utilisation outcomes with artificial intelligence: a large scoping review," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 129293, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.