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Estimating Potential Output with a Production Function for France, Germany and Italy

In: Convergence or Divergence in Europe?

Author

Listed:
  • Mustapha Baghli

    (Banque de France)

  • Christophe Cahn

    (Banque de France)

  • Jean-Pierre Villetelle

    (Banque de France)

Abstract

Summary This paper discusses the supply conditions for economic growth in terms of potential GDP estimated by the production function approach for France, Germany and Italy. The aim of this study is twofold: first, we keep a consistent framework as regards national accounts institutional sectors. Second, after defining Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in the so-called productive sector from the Solow residual, we specify it in a general framework for the three countries as a function of a time trend corrected for the effects of the age of equipments and the capacity utilisation rate (CUR). This framework allows to distinguish temporal considerations: in the medium to long term, the variables that could generate short to medium term fluctuations in potential output growth are assumed to be stable at a structural level. This implies modifications of the functional specifications related to the time horizon.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustapha Baghli & Christophe Cahn & Jean-Pierre Villetelle, 2006. "Estimating Potential Output with a Production Function for France, Germany and Italy," Springer Books, in: Convergence or Divergence in Europe?, pages 161-183, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-540-32611-3_9
    DOI: 10.1007/3-540-32611-1_9
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    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Cahn & Arthur Saint-Guilhem, 2010. "Potential output growth in several industrialised countries a comparison," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 139-165, August.
    2. Valter Di Giacinto & Giacinto Micucci & Pasqualino Montanaro, 2010. "Dynamic Macroeconomic Effects of Public Capital: Evidence from Regional Italian Data," Giornale degli Economisti, GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, vol. 69(1), pages 29-66, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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