IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/navres/v41y1994i2p171-187.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Tests for transient means in simulated time series

Author

Listed:
  • David Goldsman
  • Lee W. Schruben
  • James J. Swain

Abstract

We present a family of tests to detect the presence of a transient mean in a simulation process. These tests compare variance estimators from different parts of a simulation run, and are based on the methods of batch means and standardized time series. Our tests can be viewed as natural generalizations of some previously published work. We also include a power analysis of the new tests, as well as some illustrative examples. © 1994 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Suggested Citation

  • David Goldsman & Lee W. Schruben & James J. Swain, 1994. "Tests for transient means in simulated time series," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(2), pages 171-187, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:navres:v:41:y:1994:i:2:p:171-187
    DOI: 10.1002/1520-6750(199403)41:23.0.CO;2-N
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/1520-6750(199403)41:23.0.CO;2-N
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/1520-6750(199403)41:23.0.CO;2-N?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter W. Glynn & Donald L. Iglehart, 1990. "Simulation Output Analysis Using Standardized Time Series," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, February.
    2. Lee W. Schruben, 1982. "Detecting Initialization Bias in Simulation Output," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 30(3), pages 569-590, June.
    3. L. Schruben & H. Singh & L. Tierney, 1983. "Optimal Tests for Initialization Bias in Simulation Output," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 31(6), pages 1167-1178, December.
    4. David Goldsman & Lee Schruben, 1990. "Note---New Confidence Interval Estimators Using Standardized Time Series," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(3), pages 393-397, March.
    5. Lee Schruben, 1983. "Confidence Interval Estimation Using Standardized Time Series," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 31(6), pages 1090-1108, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. K Hoad & S Robinson & R Davies, 2010. "Automating warm-up length estimation," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(9), pages 1389-1403, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. David F. Muñoz & Peter W. Glynn, 2001. "Multivariate Standardized Time Series for Steady-State Simulation Output Analysis," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 49(3), pages 413-422, June.
    2. Christos Alexopoulos & Nilay Tanık Argon & David Goldsman & Gamze Tokol & James R. Wilson, 2007. "Overlapping Variance Estimators for Simulation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 55(6), pages 1090-1103, December.
    3. David Goldsman & Keebom Kang & Andrew F. Seila, 1999. "Cramér-von Mises Variance Estimators for Simulations," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 47(2), pages 299-309, April.
    4. Christos Alexopoulos & David Goldsman & Gamze Tokol, 2001. "Properties of Batched Quadratic-Form Variance Parameter Estimators for Simulations," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 13(2), pages 149-156, May.
    5. James M. Calvin & Marvin K. Nakayama, 2006. "Permuted Standardized Time Series for Steady-State Simulations," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 31(2), pages 351-368, May.
    6. Halim Damerdji & David Goldsman, 1995. "Consistency of several variants of the standardized time series area variance estimator," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(8), pages 1161-1176, December.
    7. Enver Yücesan, 1993. "Randomization tests for initialization bias in simulation output," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(5), pages 643-663, August.
    8. David Goldsman & Keebom Kang & Seong‐Hee Kim & Andrew F. Seila & Gamze Tokol, 2007. "Combining standardized time series area and Cramér–von Mises variance estimators," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(4), pages 384-396, June.
    9. Ockerman, Daniel H. & Goldsman, David, 1999. "Student t-tests and compound tests to detect transients in simulated time series," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 116(3), pages 681-691, August.
    10. Song, Wheyming T. & Chih, Mingchang, 2010. "Extended dynamic partial-overlapping batch means estimators for steady-state simulations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(3), pages 640-651, June.
    11. Song, Wheyming Tina & Chih, Mingchang, 2013. "Run length not required: Optimal-mse dynamic batch means estimators for steady-state simulations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 229(1), pages 114-123.
    12. Robinson, Stewart, 2007. "A statistical process control approach to selecting a warm-up period for a discrete-event simulation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 176(1), pages 332-346, January.
    13. K Hoad & S Robinson & R Davies, 2010. "Automating warm-up length estimation," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(9), pages 1389-1403, September.
    14. Gamze Tokol & David Goldsman & Daniel H. Ockerman & James J. Swain, 1998. "Standardized Time Series Lp-Norm Variance Estimators for Simulations," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(2), pages 234-245, February.
    15. Koning, A.J., 1999. "Goodness of fit for the constancy of a classical statistical model over time," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 9959-/A, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    16. Sheth-Voss, Pieter A. & Willemain, Thomas R. & Haddock, Jorge, 2005. "Estimating the steady-state mean from short transient simulations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 403-417, April.
    17. Meterelliyoz, Melike & Alexopoulos, Christos & Goldsman, David, 2012. "Folded overlapping variance estimators for simulation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 220(1), pages 135-146.
    18. Seong-Hee Kim & Barry L. Nelson, 2006. "On the Asymptotic Validity of Fully Sequential Selection Procedures for Steady-State Simulation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(3), pages 475-488, June.
    19. Jacobson, Sheldon H., 1997. "The effect of initial transient on the steady-state simulation harmonic analysis gradient estimators," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 209-221.
    20. Guangwu Liu & Liu Jeff Hong, 2009. "Kernel estimation of quantile sensitivities," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(6), pages 511-525, September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:navres:v:41:y:1994:i:2:p:171-187. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)1520-6750 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.