IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jnddns/v2016y2016i1n4269431.html

Nonlinearity and Fractal Properties of Climate Change during the Past 500 Years in Northwestern China

Author

Listed:
  • Shiquan Wan
  • Qunqun Liu
  • Jianxin Zou
  • Wenping He

Abstract

By using detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), the present paper analyzed the nonlinearity and fractal properties of tree‐ring records from two types of trees in northwestern China, and then we disclosed climate change characteristics during the past 500 years in this area. The results indicate that climate change in northwestern China displayed a long‐range correlation (LRC), which can exist over time span of 100 years or longer. This conclusion provides a theoretical basis for long‐term climate predictions. Combining the DFA results obtained from daily temperatures records at the Xi’an meteorological observation station, which is near the southern peak of the Huashan Mountains, self‐similarities widely existed in climate change on monthly, seasonal, annual, and decadal timescales during the past 500 years in northwestern China, and this change was a typical nonlinear process.

Suggested Citation

  • Shiquan Wan & Qunqun Liu & Jianxin Zou & Wenping He, 2016. "Nonlinearity and Fractal Properties of Climate Change during the Past 500 Years in Northwestern China," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2016(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jnddns:v:2016:y:2016:i:1:n:4269431
    DOI: 10.1155/2016/4269431
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/4269431
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1155/2016/4269431?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yanhui Liu & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Pierre Cizeau & Martin Meyer & Chung-Kang Peng & H. Eugene Stanley, 1999. "The statistical properties of the volatility of price fluctuations," Papers cond-mat/9903369, arXiv.org, revised Mar 1999.
    2. Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & Luis A. Nunes Amaral & Martin Meyer & H. Eugene Stanley, 1999. "Scaling of the distribution of fluctuations of financial market indices," Papers cond-mat/9905305, arXiv.org.
    3. Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Bunde, Armin & Havlin, Shlomo & Goldreich, Yair, 1996. "Analysis of daily temperature fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 231(4), pages 393-396.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sornette, Didier & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2006. "Importance of positive feedbacks and overconfidence in a self-fulfilling Ising model of financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 370(2), pages 704-726.
    2. Martin D. Gould & Mason A. Porter & Stacy Williams & Mark McDonald & Daniel J. Fenn & Sam D. Howison, 2010. "Limit Order Books," Papers 1012.0349, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
    3. Zhang, Jiu & Jin, Li-Fu & Zheng, Bo & Li, Yan & Jiang, Xiong-Fei, 2022. "Simplified calculations of time correlation functions in non-stationary complex financial systems," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).
    4. Chandradew Sharma, 2025. "Multi Scale Analysis of Nifty 50 Return Characteristics Valuation Dynamics and Market Complexity 1990 to 2024," Papers 2509.00697, arXiv.org.
    5. Hernández-Pérez, R., 2012. "Allan deviation analysis of financial return series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(9), pages 2883-2888.
    6. Bo Li & Guangle Du, 2024. "Reaction Function for Financial Market Reacting to Events or Information," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 1265-1290, August.
    7. T. T. Chen & B. Zheng & Y. Li & X. F. Jiang, 2017. "New approaches in agent-based modeling of complex financial systems," Papers 1703.06840, arXiv.org.
    8. Li, Shuping & Lu, Xinsheng & Li, Jianfeng, 2021. "Cross-correlations between the P2P interest rate, Shibor and treasury yields," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).
    9. Lemmens, D. & Liang, L.Z.J. & Tempere, J. & De Schepper, A., 2010. "Pricing bounds for discrete arithmetic Asian options under Lévy models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(22), pages 5193-5207.
    10. Hai-Chin Yu & Ming-Chang Huang, 2004. "Statistical properties of volatility in fractal dimensions and probability distribution among six stock markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(15), pages 1087-1095.
    11. Kostanjcar, Zvonko & Jeren, Branko & Juretic, Zeljan, 2012. "Impact of uncertainty in expected return estimation on stock price volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(22), pages 5563-5571.
    12. Gu, Gao-Feng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2007. "Statistical properties of daily ensemble variables in the Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(2), pages 497-506.
    13. Hasan, Rashid & Mohammad, Salim M., 2015. "Multifractal analysis of Asian markets during 2007–2008 financial crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 746-761.
    14. Eisler, Z. & Kertész, J., 2004. "Multifractal model of asset returns with leverage effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 603-622.
    15. Lei Tan & Bo Zheng & Jun-Jie Chen & Xiong-Fei Jiang, 2015. "How Volatilities Nonlocal in Time Affect the Price Dynamics in Complex Financial Systems," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(2), pages 1-16, February.
    16. Sun-Chong Wang & Sai-Ping Li & Chung-Ching Tai & Shu-Heng Che, 2009. "Statistical properties of an experimental political futures market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 9-16.
    17. Stosic, Dusan & Stosic, Darko & Stosic, Tatijana, 2019. "Nonextensive triplets in stock market indices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 192-198.
    18. Gabaix, Xavier & Gopikrishnan, Parameswaran & Plerou, Vasiliki & Eugene Stanley, H., 2008. "Quantifying and understanding the economics of large financial movements," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 303-319, January.
    19. Benjamin Kohler & Anton J. Heckens & Thomas Guhr, 2026. "Extreme Value Analysis for Finite, Multivariate and Correlated Systems with Finance as an Example," Papers 2603.05260, arXiv.org.
    20. Yang, Honglin & Wan, Hong & Zha, Yong, 2013. "Autocorrelation type, timescale and statistical property in financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(7), pages 1681-1693.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jnddns:v:2016:y:2016:i:1:n:4269431. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/3059 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.