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Exchange‐Traded Barrier Option and VPIN: Evidence from Hong Kong

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  • William M. Cheung
  • Robin K. Chou
  • Adrian C.H. Lei

Abstract

We study the validity of the volume‐synchronized probability of informed trading (VPIN) metric in measuring the order flow toxicity around the mandatory call events of callable bull/bear contracts. High VPIN around mandatory call events indicates the existence of large volume imbalances, suggesting high market risk surrounding those call events. In this study, we provide the first direct evidence of the validity of VPIN outside the U.S. market. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 35:561–581, 2015

Suggested Citation

  • William M. Cheung & Robin K. Chou & Adrian C.H. Lei, 2015. "Exchange‐Traded Barrier Option and VPIN: Evidence from Hong Kong," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 561-581, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:35:y:2015:i:6:p:561-581
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    Cited by:

    1. Boyue Fang & Yutong Feng, 2019. "Design of High-Frequency Trading Algorithm Based on Machine Learning," Papers 1912.10343, arXiv.org.
    2. Abad, David & Massot, Magdalena & Pascual, Roberto, 2018. "Evaluating VPIN as a trigger for single-stock circuit breakers," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 21-36.
    3. Jangkoo Kang & Kyung Yoon Kwon & Wooyeon Kim, 2020. "Flow toxicity of high‐frequency trading and its impact on price volatility: Evidence from the KOSPI 200 futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 164-191, February.
    4. Imtiaz Mohammad Sifat & Azhar Mohamad, 2019. "Circuit breakers as market stability levers: A survey of research, praxis, and challenges," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 1130-1169, July.
    5. Sifat, Imtiaz Mohammad & Mohamad, Azhar, 2020. "A survey on the magnet effect of circuit breakers in financial markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 138-151.
    6. Prodromou, Tina & Westerholm, P. Joakim, 2022. "Are high frequency traders responsible for extreme price movements?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 94-111.
    7. Chen, Son-Nan & Hsu, Pao-Peng, 2018. "Pricing and hedging barrier options under a Markov-modulated double exponential jump diffusion-CIR model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 330-346.
    8. Yildiz, Serhat & Van Ness, Bonnie & Van Ness, Robert, 2020. "VPIN, liquidity, and return volatility in the U.S. equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    9. Adrian C. H. Lei & Xiaorong Ma & Martin H. Y. Yick, 2020. "Callable bull/bear contracts, call auction sessions, and price manipulations: Evidence from Hong Kong," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(11), pages 1731-1750, November.

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