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Integrated Monetary and Financial Policies for Small Open Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Suman S. Basu
  • Emine Boz
  • Gita Gopinath
  • Francisco Roch
  • D. Filiz Unsal

Abstract

We develop a tractable small‐open‐economy framework to characterize the constrained efficient use of the monetary policy rate, foreign exchange (FX) intervention, capital controls, and domestic macroprudential measures. The model features dominant currency pricing, positive premia on local currency debt arising from financiers' portfolio constraints, and occasionally‐binding external and domestic borrowing constraints. We characterize the conditions under which the traditional prescription—relying solely on the policy rate and exchange rate flexibility—remains sufficient, even in the presence of externalities. By contrast, to manage noise trader flows into and out of the local currency debt market, FX intervention and in some cases capital inflow taxes should be used instead of the traditional prescription. Moreover, if a country faces a mix of local currency premia and external borrowing constraints, we establish that certain regulations to limit FX mismatch may alleviate the external borrowing constraint but exacerbate the local currency premia. Finally, we show that capital controls may dominate domestic macroprudential measures in cases when external shocks trigger stress in domestic housing markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Suman S. Basu & Emine Boz & Gita Gopinath & Francisco Roch & D. Filiz Unsal, 2025. "Integrated Monetary and Financial Policies for Small Open Economies," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(6), pages 2201-2234, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:emetrp:v:93:y:2025:i:6:p:2201-2234
    DOI: 10.3982/ECTA21802
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    Cited by:

    1. Manopimoke, Pym & Nookhwun, Nuwat & Pattararangrong, Jettawat, 2024. "Exchange rate in emerging markets: Shock absorber or source of shock?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    2. Jasna Tonovska & Predrag Trpeski, 2025. "Digital Infrastructures As The New Pipes Of Global Capital," Proceedings of the 5th International Conference "Economic and Business Trends Shaping the Future" 2024 031, Faculty of Economics-Skopje, Ss Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje.
    3. Miguel Acosta-Henao & María Alejandra Amado & Montserrat Martí & David Pérez-Reyna, 2025. "Heterogeneous UIPDs across Firms: Spillovers from U.S. Monetary Policy Shocks," Working Papers 2530, Banco de España.
    4. Mr. Iaroslav Miller & Daniel Baksa & Mr. Philippe D Karam & Tugrul Vehbi, 2024. "G3MOD: A Multi-Country Global Forecasting Model," IMF Working Papers 2024/254, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Mikael Juselius & Dora Xia, 2026. "Monetary responses to external shocks in emerging market economies: the role of financial vulnerabilities," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F38 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Financial Policy: Financial Transactions Tax; Capital Controls
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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