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Wirtschaftsentwicklung divergiert in den kommenden Jahren auch in Mitteleuropa, Ost- und Südosteuropa zwischen Norden und Süden

Author

Listed:
  • Vasily Astrov
  • Doris Hanzl-Weiss
  • Mario Holzner
  • Sebastian Leitner

    (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

Abstract

Die gegenwärtige Wirtschaftskrise weist alle jene Merkmale auf, die mit finanziellen, verschuldungsbezogenen und strukturellen Aspekten von Leistungsbilanzkrisen verbunden werden. Daraus ergeben sich dauerhaft dämpfende Effekte für die Entwicklung der Gesamtnachfrage in den Ländern Mitteleuropas, Ost- und Südosteuropas, sodass sich eine nachhaltige Erholung verzögert. Strukturschwache Volkswirtschaften wie etwa die Westbalkanländer werden auch im Prognosezeitraum 2012/2014 kaum expandieren, während einige mitteleuropäische Volkswirtschaften, insbesondere Tschechien, Polen und die Slowakei dank kräftigem Wachstum eine Schuldenkrise vermeiden können sollten.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasily Astrov & Doris Hanzl-Weiss & Mario Holzner & Sebastian Leitner, 2012. "Wirtschaftsentwicklung divergiert in den kommenden Jahren auch in Mitteleuropa, Ost- und Südosteuropa zwischen Norden und Süden," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 85(5), pages 351-359, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2012:i:5:p:351-359
    Note: With English abstract.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:clr:wugarc:y:2013:v:39i:1p:69 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Alfred Sitz & Aneliya Adzhemova & Atanas Pekanov, 2013. "Bulgarien: wirtschaftspolitische Strategie und ökonomische Entwicklung seit der Öffnung," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 39(1), pages 69-85.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    MOEL; MOSOEL;

    JEL classification:

    • P2 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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