IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/finprj/v10y2024i1p20n1002.html

Comprehensive Financial Planning for a Sustainable Retirement†

Author

Listed:
  • Tahani Nabil

    (Associate Professor of Finance and Area Coordinator, School of Administrative Studies, York University)

  • Robinson Chris

    (Professor Emeritus of Finance and Senior Scholar, School of Administrative Studies, York University)

Abstract

We demonstrate a comprehensive approach to the dual problems of saving enough for retirement and determining how much saving is enough at retirement date, using a probabilistic (stochastic) model. Our model estimates the probability of success of a comprehensive plan that spans the life cycle. Retirement plans are riskier than the financial planners’ deterministic models show, using a simple case study as a comparative example. Variables the family can control for a successful retirement plan are the patterns of pre-retirement saving and retirement consumption, the probability of running out of money in retirement that the family will accept, and the age of retirement.

Suggested Citation

  • Tahani Nabil & Robinson Chris, 2024. "Comprehensive Financial Planning for a Sustainable Retirement†," Financial Planning Research Journal, Sciendo, vol. 10(1), pages 1-20.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:finprj:v:10:y:2024:i:1:p:20:n:1002
    DOI: 10.2478/fprj-2024-0002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.2478/fprj-2024-0002
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2478/fprj-2024-0002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Moshe Milevsky & Chris Robinson, 2000. "Self-Annuitization and Ruin in Retirement," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 112-124.
    2. Lachance, Marie-Eve, 2012. "Optimal onset and exhaustion of retirement savings in a life-cycle model," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 21-52, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Young, Virginia R., 2017. "Purchasing casualty insurance to avoid lifetime ruin," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 133-142.
    2. Marina Di Giacinto & Bjarne Højgaard & Elena Vigna, 2010. "Optimal time of annuitization in the decumulation phase of a defined contribution pension scheme," Working Papers 2010-08, Universita' di Cassino, Dipartimento di Economia e Giurisprudenza.
    3. Van Weert, Koen & Dhaene, Jan & Goovaerts, Marc, 2010. "Optimal portfolio selection for general provisioning and terminal wealth problems," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 90-97, August.
    4. Xiaoqing Liang & Virginia R. Young, 2020. "Minimizing the Probability of Lifetime Exponential Parisian Ruin," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 184(3), pages 1036-1064, March.
    5. He, Lin & Liang, Zongxia, 2013. "Optimal dynamic asset allocation strategy for ELA scheme of DC pension plan during the distribution phase," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 404-410.
    6. Wang, Ting & Young, Virginia R., 2012. "Optimal commutable annuities to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 200-216.
    7. Erhan Bayraktar & Virginia Young, 2011. "Proving regularity of the minimal probability of ruin via a game of stopping and control," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 785-818, December.
    8. Erhan Bayraktar & Virginia R. Young, 2007. "Optimal Deferred Life Annuities to Minimize the Probability of Lifetime Ruin," Papers math/0703862, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2007.
    9. Fischer, Marcel & Jensen, Bjarne Astrup & Koch, Marlene, 2023. "Optimal retirement savings over the life cycle: A deterministic analysis in closed form," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 48-58.
    10. Erhan Bayraktar & Yuchong Zhang, 2014. "Minimizing the Probability of Lifetime Ruin Under Ambiguity Aversion," Papers 1402.1809, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2014.
    11. Huang, H. & Milevsky, M.A. & Salisbury, T.S., 2017. "Retirement spending and biological age," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 58-76.
    12. Petrichev, Konstantin & Thorp, Susan, 2008. "The private value of public pensions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 1138-1145, June.
    13. Moshe A. Milevsky & Kristen S. Moore & Virginia R. Young, 2006. "Asset Allocation And Annuity‐Purchase Strategies To Minimize The Probability Of Financial Ruin," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(4), pages 647-671, October.
    14. Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew J. G. & Dowd, Kevin, 2003. "Pensionmetrics 2: stochastic pension plan design during the distribution phase," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 29-47, August.
    15. Ivica Dus & Raimond Maurer & Olivia S. Mitchell, 2005. "Betting on Death and Capital Markets in Retirement: A Shortfall Risk Analysis of Life Annuities," NBER Working Papers 11271, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Horneff, Wolfram J. & Maurer, Raimond H. & Mitchell, Olivia S. & Dus, Ivica, 2008. "Following the rules: Integrating asset allocation and annuitization in retirement portfolios," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 396-408, February.
    17. Rosario Maggistro & Mario Marino & Antonio Martire, 2025. "A dynamic game approach for optimal consumption, investment and life insurance problem," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 346(2), pages 1377-1398, March.
    18. Di Giacinto, Marina & Federico, Salvatore & Gozzi, Fausto & Vigna, Elena, 2014. "Income drawdown option with minimum guarantee," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(3), pages 610-624.
    19. Huang, Huaxiong & Milevsky, Moshe A., 2016. "Longevity risk and retirement income tax efficiency: A location spending rate puzzle," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 50-62.
    20. Huang, Huaxiong & Milevsky, Moshe A. & Salisbury, Thomas S., 2012. "Optimal retirement consumption with a stochastic force of mortality," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 282-291.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:finprj:v:10:y:2024:i:1:p:20:n:1002. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.