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Is Bitcoin an emerging market? A market efficiency perspective

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  • Skwarek Mateusz

    (Poznań University of Economics and Business, Institute of Accounting and Finance Management, al. Niepodległości 10, 61-875 Poznań, Poland)

Abstract

Despite recent studies focused on comparing the dynamics of market efficiency between Bitcoin and other traditional assets, there is a lack of knowledge about whether Bitcoin and emerging markets efficiency behave similarly. This paper aims to compare the market efficiency dynamics between Bitcoin and the emerging stock markets. In particular, this study indicates whether the dynamics of Bitcoin market efficiency mimic those of emerging stock markets. Thus, the paper's contribution emerges from the combination of Bitcoin and emerging markets in the field of dynamics of market efficiency. The dynamics of market efficiency are measured using the Hurst exponent in the rolling window. The study uses daily data for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the Bitcoin market over the period 2011–2022. Our results show that there is at most a moderate correlation between the dynamics of Bitcoin and emerging stock markets’ efficiency over the entire study period. The strongest correlations occur mainly in periods of high economic policy uncertainty in the largest Bitcoin mining countries. Therefore, the association between Bitcoin market efficiency and emerging stock markets’ efficiency may strengthen with an increase in economic policy uncertainty. These findings may be useful for investors and portfolio managers in constructing better investment strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Skwarek Mateusz, 2023. "Is Bitcoin an emerging market? A market efficiency perspective," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 10(57), pages 219-236, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:ceuecj:v:10:y:2023:i:57:p:219-236:n:13
    DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2023-0013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Khuntia, Sashikanta & Pattanayak, J.K., 2020. "Adaptive long memory in volatility of intra-day bitcoin returns and the impact of trading volume," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    2. Diniz-Maganini, Natalia & Diniz, Eduardo H. & Rasheed, Abdul A., 2021. "Bitcoin’s price efficiency and safe haven properties during the COVID-19 pandemic: A comparison," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Jon Carrick, 2016. "Bitcoin as a Complement to Emerging Market Currencies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(10), pages 2321-2334, October.
    4. Wang, Jingjing & Wang, Xiaoyang, 2021. "COVID-19 and financial market efficiency: Evidence from an entropy-based analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bitcoin; market efficiency; emerging stock markets; long-range dependence; Hurst exponent;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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