IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrn/journl/y2021i3p294-308.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Covid-19 on the Performance of The Nigeria`s Stock Market

Author

Listed:
  • Muideen Adejare Isiaka

    (Department of Economics & Actuarial Sciences, Crescent University, Abeokuta, Ogun State. Nigeria)

  • Modinat Omolara Ogunmolu

    (Department of Economics & Actuarial Sciences, Crescent University, Abeokuta, Ogun State. Nigeria)

  • Lukuman Olalekan Lamidi

    (Federal College of Animal Health and Production Technology, Moor Plantation, Apata, Ibadan, Oyo State, Nigeria)

  • Saheed Timileyin Ogunmolu

    (Department of Economics & Actuarial Sciences, Crescent University, Abeokuta, Ogun State. Nigeria)

Abstract

This study identifies the structural break date in the series of All Share Index (ASI) of the Nigeria’s capital market using innovational outlier methodology with the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root with structural break test. The study also examines the descriptive characteristics and model structure of ASI before and after the identified break date using ARIMA methodology. It uses daily data of ASI from November 27, 2018 to November 24, 2020. The results indicate that the break date is March 6, 2020. The mean results decreased after the break. The series before the break follows ARIMA (3,1,12), while it follows ARIMA (7,1,9) after the break. The diagnostic test revealed that the ARIMA (7,1,9) fails to capture the entire variation in the series. The modified model for post break period is AR(7), MA(8) and MA(9) process. However, the estimated volatility of the series decreased after the break. The study recommends that capital market studies and policies going forward should incorporate the impact of Covid-19 induced structural break.

Suggested Citation

  • Muideen Adejare Isiaka & Modinat Omolara Ogunmolu & Lukuman Olalekan Lamidi & Saheed Timileyin Ogunmolu, 2021. "Impact of Covid-19 on the Performance of The Nigeria`s Stock Market," Business & Management Compass, University of Economics Varna, issue 3, pages 294-308.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrn:journl:y:2021:i:3:p:294-308
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journal.ue-varna.bg/uploads/20211108091202_1670911526188e9e222250.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chun-Da Chen & Chin-Chun Chen & Wan-Wei Tang & Bor-Yi Huang, 2009. "The positive and negative impacts of the sars outbreak:a case of the Taiwan industries," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 43(1), pages 281-293, September.
    2. Srinivas Nippani & Kenneth Washer, 2004. "SARS: a non-event for affected countries' stock markets?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(15), pages 1105-1110.
    3. Kim, Dukpa & Perron, Pierre, 2009. "Unit root tests allowing for a break in the trend function at an unknown time under both the null and alternative hypotheses," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 148(1), pages 1-13, January.
    4. Yi-Hsien Wang & Fu-Ju Yang & Li-Je Chen, 2013. "An investor's perspective on infectious diseases and their influence on market behavior," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(sup1), pages 112-127, June.
    5. Qing He & Junyi Liu & Sizhu Wang & Jishuang Yu, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on stock markets," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 275-288, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. ATM Adnan & Sameer Al Johani, 2023. "Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19: A Cross-Sectional Industry Analysis in Frontier Market," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 12(2), pages 157-181, July.
    2. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2022. "The impact and role of COVID-19 uncertainty: A global industry analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    3. Kumeka Terver Theophilus & Falayi Olabusuyi Rufus & Adedokun Adeniyi Jimmy, 2021. "Does Stock Market Respond to Disease Pandemic? A Case of COVID-19 in Nigeria," Acta Universitatis Sapientiae, Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 9(1), pages 86-101, September.
    4. Salisu, Afees A. & Shaik, Muneer, 2022. "Islamic Stock indices and COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 282-293.
    5. Kok Jun Tan & Mohd Edil Abd Sukor, 2023. "The Effects of Lockdown, Economic Stimulus Packages and National Recovery Plan Announcements on the Malaysian Stock Market," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 31(1), pages 73-84.
    6. Omer Ahmed Sayed & Hussein Eledum, 2023. "The short‐run response of Saudi Arabia stock market to the outbreak of COVID‐19 pandemic: An event‐study methodology," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2367-2381, July.
    7. Herjuna Qobush Izzahdi & Ani Wilujeng Suryani, 2023. "COVID-19 Vaccination, Government Strict Policy and Capital Market Volatility: Evidence from ASEAN Countries," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 117-135.
    8. Zhang, Wenwen & Cao, Shuo & Zhang, Xuan & Qu, Xuefeng, 2023. "COVID-19 and stock market performance: Evidence from the RCEP countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 717-735.
    9. Onour, Ibrahim A., 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 pandemic shock on major Asian stock markets: evidence of decoupling effects," Economic Consultant, Roman I. Ostapenko, vol. 34(2), pages 21-32.
    10. Baek, Seungho & Mohanty, Sunil K. & Glambosky, Mina, 2020. "COVID-19 and stock market volatility: An industry level analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    11. Bashir Ahmad Joo & Zahida Farooq, 2022. "Testing the impact of COVID-19 on trading behavior of the investors: An empirical evidence from Indian Stock Market," Indian Journal of Commerce and Management Studies, Educational Research Multimedia & Publications,India, vol. 13(3), pages 21-29, September.
    12. Sinha, Pankaj & Sawaliya, Priya & Sinha, Prateek, 2020. "Surviving Coronavirus scare: A journey of stock market amid a slowdown in Indian Economy," MPRA Paper 103902, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Jun 2020.
    13. Md. Bokhtiar Hasan & Masnun Mahi & Tapan Sarker & Md. Ruhul Amin, 2021. "Spillovers of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Impact on Global Economic Activity, the Stock Market, and the Energy Sector," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-18, May.
    14. repec:thr:techub:10017:y:2021:i:1:p:175-183 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Mahi, Masnun & Hassan, M. Kabir & Bhuiyan, Abul Bashar, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on stock markets: Conventional vs. Islamic indices using wavelet-based multi-timescales analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    16. Shaikh, Imlak, 2021. "On the relation between Pandemic Disease Outbreak News and Crude oil, Gold, Gold mining, Silver and Energy Markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    17. Chien-Chiang Lee & Mei-Ping Chen, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on the travel and leisure industry returns: Some international evidence," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(2), pages 451-472, March.
    18. Akila Rubaiyath & Raad Mozib Lalon, 2022. "Investigating the Impact of Bank-specific Determinants on Stock Price of Listed Commercial Banks: Evidence from Emerging Economy," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 134-142, July.
    19. Shaista Wasiuzzaman, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 on the Saudi stock market: analysis of return, volatility and trading volume," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(4), pages 350-363, July.
    20. Imlak Shaikh, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the energy markets," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 433-484, February.
    21. Seyed Alireza Athari & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2023. "World pandemic uncertainty and German stock market: evidence from Markov regime-switching and Fourier based approaches," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1923-1936, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; Stock Market; All Share Index; Structural Break; ARIMA;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G40 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - General
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrn:journl:y:2021:i:3:p:294-308. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Yana Doneva (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevarbg.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.