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The Response of Domestic Prices to Expected Exchange Rates

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  • Feinberg, Robert M
  • Kaplan, Seth

Abstract

This article examines the recent U.S. price experience in response to the actual and anticipated rise and fall of the dollar, and tests for determinants of the observed price effects. An index of real exchange-rate expectations is developed and used to explore its role in determining domestic producer prices. Actual and expected future real exchange rates are seen to have opposite impacts on domestic price determination at the industry level. Further, the industry-specific characteristics interact asymmetrically with actual and expected real exchange-rate changes. Copyright 1992 by University of Chicago Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Feinberg, Robert M & Kaplan, Seth, 1992. "The Response of Domestic Prices to Expected Exchange Rates," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 65(2), pages 267-280, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:65:y:1992:i:2:p:267-80
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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/296568
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marco Pagano, 1989. "Endogenous Market Thinness and Stock Price Volatility," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 56(2), pages 269-287.
    2. Robert J. Shiller, 1984. "Stock Prices and Social Dynamics," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 15(2), pages 457-510.
    3. De Long, J Bradford & Andrei Shleifer & Lawrence H. Summers & Robert J. Waldmann, 1990. "Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(4), pages 703-738, August.
    4. John Y. Campbell & Albert S. Kyle, 1993. "Smart Money, Noise Trading and Stock Price Behaviour," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 60(1), pages 1-34.
    5. Kyle, Albert S, 1985. "Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1315-1335, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Feenstra, Robert C., 1995. "Estimating the effects of trade policy," Handbook of International Economics,in: G. M. Grossman & K. Rogoff (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 30, pages 1553-1595 Elsevier.
    2. Alan Kirman & Louis Phlips, 1996. "Exchange-rate pass-through and market structure," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 129-154, June.
    3. Lee, Jaewoo, 1998. "Intertemporal substitution in imported durables," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 113-133, February.
    4. Martins Bitans, 2004. "Pass-Through of Exchange Rates to Domestic Prices in East European Countries and the Role of Economic Enviroment," Working Papers 2004/04, Latvijas Banka.
    5. Feinberg, Robert M., 1996. "A simultaneous analysis of exchange-rate passthrough into prices of imperfectly substitutable domestic and import goods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 407-416.
    6. Parsley, David C., 1995. "Anticipated future shocks and exchange rate pass-through in the presence of reputation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 99-103.

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