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Estimating the long-term effects of different passenger car technologies on energy/fuel consumption and emissions of greenhouse gases in Europe

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  • Milan Janic

Abstract

This paper estimates the prospective long-term effects of innovative and new passenger car technologies such as hybrid vehicles, battery electric vehicles, hydrogen vehicles and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles on energy/fuel consumption and related emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in a given region - Europe. For such purposes, a methodology for estimating these effects is developed consisting of three models: (1) a model for determining the volumes of passenger car use; (2) a model for calculating energy consumption of particular passenger car technologies; and (3) a model for quantifying emissions of GHG by these passenger car technologies under given conditions. The methodology is applied to the region of the 27 Member States of the European Union using the 'what-if?' scenario approach. Results include estimates of the annual and cumulative quantities of GHGs in terms of carbon dioxide equivalents emitted under the given scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Milan Janic, 2014. "Estimating the long-term effects of different passenger car technologies on energy/fuel consumption and emissions of greenhouse gases in Europe," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(5), pages 409-429, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:transp:v:37:y:2014:i:5:p:409-429
    DOI: 10.1080/03081060.2014.912417
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    Cited by:

    1. Saeed Solaymani & Julio Botero, 2025. "Reducing Carbon Emissions from Transport Sector: Experience and Policy Design Considerations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-23, April.
    2. Sismanidou, Athina & Tarradellas, Joan & Suau-Sanchez, Pere & O'Connor, Kevin, 2024. "Breaking barriers: An assessment of the feasibility of long-haul electric flights," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Solaymani, Saeed, 2019. "CO2 emissions patterns in 7 top carbon emitter economies: The case of transport sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 989-1001.
    4. Turan, Fikret Korhan, 2024. "A theoretical stakeholder model of automotive industry and policy implications for sustainable transport after Dieselgate," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 192-205.
    5. Navarro-Ligero, Miguel L. & Valenzuela-Montes, Luis Miguel, 2022. "Scenario archetypes in urban transport planning: Insights from the implementation of LRT systems," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 152-164.
    6. Xingong Ding & Mengzhen Wang, 2024. "The Impact of Oil Price on Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Transport Sector: The Threshold Effect of Environmental Policy Stringency," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-17, September.

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