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A multi-layer scenario analysis for sustainable international transport

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  • Barry Ubbels
  • Caroline Rodenburg
  • Peter Nijkamp

Abstract

This article considers the development of the international transport sector based on four globalization scenarios. These four images of the future transportation market are constructed at three different levels (global, European and Dutch). The possible consequences of these scenarios are mapped out not only by key aspects such as modal split and spatial organization but also by providing empirical insights into expected transport flows for both passenger and freight transport in 2020 based on data from 1995.

Suggested Citation

  • Barry Ubbels & Caroline Rodenburg & Peter Nijkamp, 2003. "A multi-layer scenario analysis for sustainable international transport," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 69-103, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:transp:v:26:y:2003:i:1:p:69-103
    DOI: 10.1080/03081060309910
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yoshitsugu Hayashi & Kenneth Button & Peter Nijkamp (ed.), 1999. "The Environment and Transport," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1517.
    2. World Bank, 1996. "Global Economic Prospects and the Developing Countries 1996," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 32391, December.
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    2. Melander, Lisa & Dubois, Anna & Hedvall, Klas & Lind, Frida, 2019. "Future goods transport in Sweden 2050: Using a Delphi-based scenario analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 178-189.

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