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Structural Breaks and Real Convergence in Opec Countries

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  • Juncal Cunado

Abstract

This article examines the real convergence hypothesis in OPEC countries (Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Gabon, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Venezuela) using time series techniques and allowing for structural breaks. The main results show lack of support for income convergence in OPEC countries. We only find evidence of catch-up with the U.S. economy for the case of Indonesia, and for Angola in the last years of the sample. These findings are in line with the “resource curse” literature, which suggests that natural resource dependence inhibits economic growth. Furthermore, the results suggest that the country's oil export dependence is negatively related with its per capita GDP growth rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Juncal Cunado, 2011. "Structural Breaks and Real Convergence in Opec Countries," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 101-117, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:recsxx:v:14:y:2011:i:1:p:101-117
    DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(11)60007-X
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    Cited by:

    1. Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Ling, Pui Kiew & Furuoka, Fumitaka & Ezeoke, Chinyere Mary Rose & Jacob, Ray Ikechukwu, 2018. "Can Western African countries catch up with Nigeria? Evidence from Smooth Nonlinearity method in Fractional Unit root framework," MPRA Paper 90517, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Escobar, Octavio R. & Le Chaffotec, Alexandra, 2015. "The influence of OPEC membership on economic development: A transaction cost comparative approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 304-318.
    3. Burcu Ozcan, 2014. "Does Income Converge among EU Member Countries following the Post-War Period? Evidence from the PANKPSS Test," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 22-38, October.
    4. Mariusz Prochniak & Bartosz Witkowski, 2016. "On The Use Of Panel Stationarity Tests In Convergence Analysis: Empirical Evidence For The Eu Countries," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(1), pages 77-96, March.
    5. OlaOluwa S.Yaya & Pui Kiew Ling & Fumitaka Furuoka & Chinyere Mary Rose Ezeoke & Ray Ikechukwu Jacob, 2019. "Can West African countries catch up with Nigeria? Evidence from smooth nonlinearity method in fractional unit root framework," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 158, pages 51-63.
    6. Nazlioglu, Saban & Payne, James E. & Lee, Junsoo & Rayos-Velazquez, Marco & Karul, Cagin, 2021. "Convergence in OPEC carbon dioxide emissions: Evidence from new panel stationarity tests with factors and breaks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    7. Muhammad Safdar & Ahmad Nawaz, 2020. "Testing The Convergence Hypothesis In Solow Growth Model: A Statistical Evidence From Saarc Economies," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 9(2), pages 60-73, June.

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