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Do exports cause growth? Some evidence for the new EU members

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  • Oscar Bajo-Rubio
  • Carmen D�az-Roldán

Abstract

This article analyses the relationship between international trade and economic growth from the point of view of one of the most traditional hypotheses within this field, namely, the export-led growth hypothesis. To this end, we apply Granger-causality tests, in a cointegration framework, to data on exports and GDP of the eight CEECs that became members of the EU in 2004. The results find some support for the export-led growth hypothesis only in the case of the Czech Republic, while no significant causality in any direction was found in the remaining cases.

Suggested Citation

  • Oscar Bajo-Rubio & Carmen D�az-Roldán, 2012. "Do exports cause growth? Some evidence for the new EU members," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 125-131, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:pocoec:v:24:y:2012:i:1:p:125-131
    DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2012.647632
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    Cited by:

    1. NguyenHuu, Tams & Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan, 2020. "A new and benign hegemon on the horizon? The Chinese century and growth in the Global South," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 14, pages 1-35.
    2. Oscar Bajo-Rubio, 2022. "Exports and long-run growth: The case of Spain, 1850-2020," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 1314-1337, December.
    3. Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Ramos-Herrera, María del Carmen, 2024. "Does international trade promote economic growth? Europe, 19th and 20th centuries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 561-575.
    4. Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra, 2020. "Role of External and Domestic Demand in Economic Growth: A Study of BRICS Countries," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 21(2), pages 547-566, April.
    5. Stamule Tănase, 2017. "Trade comparative analysis: Republic of Moldova and other relevant countries," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 11(1), pages 569-576, July.
    6. David Aristei & Davide Castellani & Chiara Franco, 2013. "Firms’ exporting and importing activities: is there a two-way relationship?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 149(1), pages 55-84, March.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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