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Modelling Deceleration in Senescent Mortality

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  • MARK BEBBINGTON
  • CHIN-DIEW LAI
  • RIcARDAS ZITIKIS

Abstract

Mortality deceleration is the observed but yet to be understood phenomenon that the increase in the late-life death rate slows down after a certain species-related advanced age. Various definitions of onsets of mortality deceleration are examined. A new distribution based on the Strehler-Mildvan theory of aging takes on the required shapes. The application is done on mortality data from the 1892 cohort of Swedish women and on Mediterranean fruit flies.

Suggested Citation

  • MARK BEBBINGTON & CHIN-DIEW LAI & RIcARDAS ZITIKIS, 2011. "Modelling Deceleration in Senescent Mortality," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 18-37.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:mpopst:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:18-37
    DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2011.540173
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bebbington, Mark & Lai, Chin-Diew & Zitikis, RiÄ ardas, 2007. "A flexible Weibull extension," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(6), pages 719-726.
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    3. James Carey, 1997. "What demographers can learn from fruit fly actuarial models and biology," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 34(1), pages 17-30, February.
    4. Mark Bebbington & Chin‐Diew Lai & Ričardas Zitikis, 2008. "Reduction in mean residual life in the presence of a constant competing risk," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(1), pages 51-63, January.
    5. David Steinsaltz & Kenneth Wachter, 2006. "Understanding Mortality Rate Deceleration and Heterogeneity," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 19-37.
    6. Anatoli Yashin & Ivan Iachine & Alexander Begun, 2000. "Mortality modeling: A review," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 305-332.
    7. James Vaupel & Kenneth Manton & Eric Stallard, 1979. "The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 16(3), pages 439-454, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Groneck, Max & Ludwig, Alexander & Zimper, Alexander, 2016. "A life-cycle model with ambiguous survival beliefs," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 137-180.
    2. Ernest Lo & Dan Vatnik & Andrea Benedetti & Robert Bourbeau, 2016. "Variance models of the last age interval and their impact on life expectancy at subnational scales," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(15), pages 399-454.
    3. Groneck, Max & Ludwig, Alexander & Zimper, Alexander, 2016. "A life-cycle model with ambiguous survival beliefs," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 137-180.
    4. Peter Wagner, 2011. "Vitality heterogeneity in the Strehler-Mildvan theory of mortality," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2011-012, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    5. Michael Epelbaum, 2014. "Lifespan and Aggregate Size Variables in Specifications of Mortality or Survivorship," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, January.

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