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Impact of trade openness on GDP growth: Does TFP matter?

Author

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  • Muhammad Ramzan
  • Bin Sheng
  • Muhammad Shahbaz
  • Jian Song
  • Zhilun Jiao

Abstract

The objective of this study is to empirically explore the impact of trade openness on GDP growth initiating with the idea that trade openness cannot be fully characterized through the different openness measures only, we propose to account for total factor productivity (TFP) development level as an additional dimension of countries’ trade integration. Our empirical application is based on 35 years’ balanced panel of 82 countries spanning 1980–2014. To address the potential endogeneity issue, we use the system GMM estimator developed for dynamic panel data models. The results outline that there exists an interesting non-linear pattern between trade openness and GDP growth when TFP development level is taken as an intervening variable into account: trade may have a negative impact on GDP growth when countries have specialized in low-TFP development level; trade openness clearly boosts GDP growth once countries exhibit a minimum threshold of TFP development level. Therefore, there is some pattern of complementarity between trade openness and TFP development level so that the higher the TFP development level, the higher the impact of the trade openness on GDP growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Ramzan & Bin Sheng & Muhammad Shahbaz & Jian Song & Zhilun Jiao, 2019. "Impact of trade openness on GDP growth: Does TFP matter?," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 960-995, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:28:y:2019:i:8:p:960-995
    DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2019.1616805
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    2. Abhijit Chakraborty & Tobias Reisch & Christian Diem & Pablo Astudillo-Estévez & Stefan Thurner, 2024. "Inequality in economic shock exposures across the global firm-level supply network," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-8, December.
    3. Qianxiao Zhang & Syed Asif Ali Naqvi & Syed Ale Raza Shah, 2021. "The Contribution of Outward Foreign Direct Investment, Human Well-Being, and Technology toward a Sustainable Environment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-29, October.
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    5. Tahir, Muhammad & Hayat, Arshad, 2020. "Does International Trade Promote Economic Growth? An Evidence from Brunei Darussalam," MPRA Paper 102504, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Emmanuel Olajide Adebayo, 2019. "Trade Trend and Sustainable Development in Nigeria," Business & Management Compass, University of Economics Varna, issue 4, pages 294-308.
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    8. William Geslin ONDAYE, 2023. "Non-linear Effects of Trade Openness on Economic Growth," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 10(2), pages 37-45, May.
    9. Ulucak, Recep & Koçak, Emrah & Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Kassouri, Yacouba, 2020. "Investigating the non-linear effects of globalization on material consumption in the EU countries: Evidence from PSTR estimation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Azam, Muhammad & Bruna, Maria Giuseppina & Taskin, Dilvin, 2022. "Role of financial development for sustainable economic development in low middle income countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    11. Biswajit Maitra & Moutushi Chakraborty, 2021. "International trade, human capital and economic growth in Sri Lanka," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 405-426, September.
    12. Hafiz Wasim Akram & Alam Ahmad & Leo-Paul Dana & Asif Khan & Samreen Akhtar, 2024. "Do Trade Agreements Enhance Bilateral Trade? Focus on India and Sri Lanka," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-30, January.
    13. Gislain Stéphane Gandjon Fankem & Mohamadou Oumarou, 2020. "Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa : Evidence from New Trade Openness Indicator," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 2920-2931.
    14. Redmond, Trumel & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2020. "Role of natural resource abundance, international trade and financial development in the economic development of selected countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    15. Emma Serwaa Obobisa & Haibo Chen & Emmanuel Caesar Ayamba & Claudia Nyarko Mensah, 2021. "The Causal Relationship Between China-Africa Trade, China OFDI, and Economic Growth of African Countries," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, December.
    16. Xu, Dandan & Liu, Yuting, 2024. "How does technological progress affect provincial financial resilience? Evidence at the provincial level in China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

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