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Does Outbound Foreign Direct Investment Crowd Out Domestic Investment in China? Evidence from Time Series Analysis

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  • Usman Ali
  • Jian-Jun Wang

Abstract

China’s rising outbound foreign direct investment (ODI) has raised concerns as to whether it substitutes or complements domestic investment (DI). We demonstrated specification weaknesses in the previous studies and present fresh evidence on ODI–DI nexus for China. Utilizing ARDL approach for time series macroeconomic data, the study detects long-run negative one-way causality running from ODI to DI. The results provide robust evidence supporting the view that Chinese outbound foreign direct investment crowds out DI in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Usman Ali & Jian-Jun Wang, 2018. "Does Outbound Foreign Direct Investment Crowd Out Domestic Investment in China? Evidence from Time Series Analysis," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(4), pages 419-433, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:glecrv:v:47:y:2018:i:4:p:419-433
    DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2018.1492431
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Khan, Hameed & Khan, Umair, 2019. "Financial development and FDI inflows in China," Economics Discussion Papers 2019-54, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Mohammad Razib Hossain, 2021. "Inward foreign direct investment in Bangladesh: Do we need to rethink about some of the macro-level quantitative determinants?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 1-23, March.
    3. Faisal Mehmood & Muhammad Atique & Wang Bing & Hameed Khan & Henna Henna, 2021. "Infrastructure and sectoral FDI in China: an empirical analysis," Insights into Regional Development, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 3(2), pages 160-175, June.
    4. Aka Messouma C. & AKA Messou J. & ZHANG Biqiong, 2021. "The effect of Systematic Risk Determinants on Domestic Investment in West African Economic Monetary Union (WAEMU)," International Journal of Science and Business, IJSAB International, vol. 5(10), pages 103-110.
    5. Md. Monirul Islam & Mohammad Tareque & Abu N. M. Wahid & Md. Mahmudul Alam & Kazi Sohag, 2022. "Do the Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investments Spur Domestic Investment in Bangladesh? A Counterfactual Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-22, December.
    6. Faisal Mehmood & Muhammad Atique & Wang Bing & Hameed Khan & Henna Henna, 2021. "Infrastructure and sectoral FDI in China: an empirical analysis," Post-Print hal-03583884, HAL.
    7. Tong, Tong & Chen, Xiaoyue & Singh, Tarlok & Li, Bin, 2022. "Corporate governance and the outward foreign direct investment: Firm-level evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 962-980.
    8. Abdul Sattar & Temesgen Hordofa Tolassa & Muhammad Noshab Hussain & Muhammad Ilyas, 2022. "Environmental Effects of China’s Overseas Direct Investment in South Asia," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440221, February.
    9. Alnoah Abdulsalam & Helian Xu & Waqar Ameer & AL-Barakani Abdo & Jiejin Xia, 2021. "Exploration of the Impact of China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on Economic Growth in Asia and North Africa along the Belt and Road (B&R) Initiative," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-16, February.
    10. Azka Amin & Sofia Anwar & Xi‐Hua Liu, 2022. "Outward foreign direct investment and economic growth in Romania: Evidence from non‐linear ARDL approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 665-677, January.
    11. Safet Kurtović & Nehat Maxhuni & Blerim Halili & Bujar Krasniqi, 2022. "Does outward foreign direct investment crowd in or crowd out domestic investment in central, east and southeast europe countries? an asymmetric approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1419-1444, August.

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