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The asymptotic size and power of the augmented Dickey–Fuller test for a unit root

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  • Efstathios Paparoditis
  • Dimitris N. Politis

Abstract

It is shown that the limiting distribution of the augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test under the null hypothesis of a unit root is valid under a very general set of assumptions that goes far beyond the linear AR(∞) process assumption typically imposed. In essence, all that is required is that the error process driving the random walk possesses a continuous spectral density that is strictly positive. Furthermore, under the same weak assumptions, the limiting distribution of the ADF test is derived under the alternative of stationarity, and a theoretical explanation is given for the well-known empirical fact that the test's power is a decreasing function of the chosen autoregressive order p. The intuitive reason for the reduced power of the ADF test is that, as p tends to infinity, the p regressors become asymptotically collinear.

Suggested Citation

  • Efstathios Paparoditis & Dimitris N. Politis, 2018. "The asymptotic size and power of the augmented Dickey–Fuller test for a unit root," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(9), pages 955-973, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:37:y:2018:i:9:p:955-973
    DOI: 10.1080/00927872.2016.1178887
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    2. Raza Ali & Tursoy Turgut & Shaikh Erum & Shaikh Ahsan-ul-Haque, 2024. "Investigating the Symmetric Effects of Working Capital on Profitability in Turkish Banking: An ARDL Empirical Analysis," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 34(1), pages 74-97, March.
    3. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Limit Theory under Network Dependence and Nonstationarity," Papers 2308.01418, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    4. Muhammad Murtaza & Muhammad Ayyoub & Aisha Riaz & Riaz Ahmed, 2023. "Examining Linkages between Poverty Alleviation and Macroeconomic Performance in Pakistan," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 9(2), pages 665-678.
    5. Cui, Yu & Khan, Sufyan Ullah & Sauer, Johannes & Kipperberg, Gorm & Zhao, Minjuan, 2023. "Agricultural carbon footprint, energy utilization and economic quality: What causes what, and where?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
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    7. Zou, Nan & Politis, Dimitris N., 2021. "Bootstrap seasonal unit root test under periodic variation," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-21.
    8. Li, Li, 2023. "Commodity prices volatility and economic growth: Empirical evidence from natural resources industries of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Hafiz Syed Mohsin Abbas & Xiaodong Xu & Chunxia Sun & Samreen Gillani & Muhammad Ahsan Ali Raza, 2023. "Role of Chinese government and Public–Private Partnership in combating COVID-19 in China," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 27(3), pages 727-748, September.
    10. Ahmad Alim Bachri & Ellyn Normelani, 2020. "FDI, Income, and Environmental Pollution in Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 383-389.
    11. Wing Yee Choi, 2021. "A Study on Assessing Government Size, the Composition of Public Spending on Education and Economic Growth in the USA," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 11(1), pages 1-8.
    12. Hoang Thanh Hanh & Dinh Tran Ngoc Huy & Pham Minh Dat, 2020. "Utilization of Energy Sources, Financial Stability and Prosperity in the Economy of Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 631-637.
    13. Kung-Sik Chan & Simone Giannerini & Greta Goracci & Howell Tong, 2020. "Testing for threshold regulation in presence of measurement error with an application to the PPP hypothesis," Papers 2002.09968, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    14. Phon Sheng Hou & Lokman Mohd Fadzil & Selvakumar Manickam & Mahmood A. Al-Shareeda, 2023. "Vector Autoregression Model-Based Forecasting of Reference Evapotranspiration in Malaysia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-18, February.

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