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The asymptotic size and power of the augmented Dickey–Fuller test for a unit root

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  • Efstathios Paparoditis
  • Dimitris N. Politis

Abstract

It is shown that the limiting distribution of the augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test under the null hypothesis of a unit root is valid under a very general set of assumptions that goes far beyond the linear AR(∞) process assumption typically imposed. In essence, all that is required is that the error process driving the random walk possesses a continuous spectral density that is strictly positive. Furthermore, under the same weak assumptions, the limiting distribution of the ADF test is derived under the alternative of stationarity, and a theoretical explanation is given for the well-known empirical fact that the test's power is a decreasing function of the chosen autoregressive order p. The intuitive reason for the reduced power of the ADF test is that, as p tends to infinity, the p regressors become asymptotically collinear.

Suggested Citation

  • Efstathios Paparoditis & Dimitris N. Politis, 2018. "The asymptotic size and power of the augmented Dickey–Fuller test for a unit root," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(9), pages 955-973, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:37:y:2018:i:9:p:955-973
    DOI: 10.1080/00927872.2016.1178887
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