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Does financialization retard growth? Time series and cross-sectional evidence

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  • Imad A. Moosa

Abstract

Although financial development is essential for economic development, excessive financialization of the economy is believed to exert a negative effect on output growth. In this article, empirical evidence is presented on the relation between economic growth and financialization as measured by the ratio of credit to GDP and the ratio of publicly traded shares to GDP. The empirical results are based on annual time series data for six country groups as well as cross-sectional data covering a large number of countries. The model is initially specified with unobserved components and estimated in a time-varying parametric framework to account for missing variables. Thereafter, the issue of linear versus quadratic specifications is examined. The results are robust with respect to model specification, estimation method, data type and variable definition, showing in general that financialization has a negative impact on growth. Some evidence is also presented to support the notion of the financial Kuznets curve.

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  • Imad A. Moosa, 2018. "Does financialization retard growth? Time series and cross-sectional evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(31), pages 3405-3415, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:31:p:3405-3415
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420899
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Mengzhe & Lin, Qianru & Lan, Fei & Zhan, Zhimin & He, Zhongshi, 2023. "Trade policy uncertainty and financial investment: Evidence from Chinese energy firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    2. Guangdong Xu, 2022. "From financial structure to economic growth: Theory, evidence and challenges," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(1), February.
    3. Kulvinder Purewal & Hazwan Haini, 2022. "Re-examining the effect of financial markets and institutions on economic growth: evidence from the OECD countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 311-333, February.
    4. Jianchao Fan & Jing Liu & Yinggang Zhou, 2021. "Investing like conglomerates: is diversification a blessing or curse for China's local governments?," BIS Working Papers 920, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Huang, Bingbing & Cui, Yuying & Chan, Kam C., 2022. "Firm-level financialization: Contributing factors, sources, and economic consequences," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1153-1162.
    6. Zhang, Chengsi & Zheng, Ning, 2020. "The financial investment decision of non-financial firms in China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    7. Guangdong Xu & Binwei Gui, 2021. "The non‐linearity between finance and economic growth: a literature review and evidence from China," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 35(1), pages 3-18, May.
    8. Zhang, Mengtao & Li, Wenwen & Luo, Yalin & Chen, Wenchuan, 2023. "Government audit supervision, financialization, and executives' excess perks: Evidence from Chinese state-owned enterprises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).

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