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Exports, imports and economic growth in South Korea and Japan: a tale of two economies

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  • Wenyu Zang
  • Mark Baimbridge

Abstract

This article investigates the relationship between exports, imports and economic growth for South Korea and Japan by constructing a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model. Causality is examined between real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), real exports and real imports. Several principal results emerge from the empirical work. First, the three variables are cointegrated for both countries, implying that a long run steady state exists. Second, there is evidence of bidirectional causality between imports and economic growth for both countries. Finally, Japan seems to experience export-led growth, while GDP growth in South Korea has a negative effect on export growth. These contrasting findings could result from export goods in Japan exhibiting greater nonprice competitive aspects, although their success fails to trigger a virtuous circle since growth fails to lead to increased exports, while for South Korea, output growth leads to a decrease in export growth suggesting a strong domestic market.

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  • Wenyu Zang & Mark Baimbridge, 2012. "Exports, imports and economic growth in South Korea and Japan: a tale of two economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(3), pages 361-372, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:361-372
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508722
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hirotaka Takeuchi & Tsutomu Shibata, 2006. "Japan, Moving Toward a More Advanced Knowledge Economy : Volume 2. Advanced Knowledge-Creating Companies," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 7082, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Irena Lacka & Janusz Myszczyszyn & Sylwia Golab & Beata Bedzik & Blazej Supron, 2020. "Correlation between the Level of Economic Growth and Foreign Trade: The Case of the V4 Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 657-678.
    2. Kyungbo Park & Hangook Kim & Jeonghwa Cha, 2023. "An Exploratory Study on the Development of a Crisis Index: Focusing on South Korea’s Petroleum Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-24, July.
    3. Athanasia Stylianou Kalaitzi & Trevor W. Chamberlain, 2023. "Manufactured exports, disaggregated imports and economic growth: the case of Kuwait," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 919-940, April.
    4. Erdem Bulut & Zaim Reha Yasar, 2023. "Determinants of Export Performance in Emerging Market Economies: New Evidence from a Panel Quantile Regression Model," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 73(73-1), pages 453-472, June.
    5. Ousama Ben-Salha & Abir Abid & Ghassen El Montasser, 2023. "Linear and Nonlinear Causal Linkages Between Exports and Growth in Next Eleven Economies," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 1194-1226, June.
    6. K. Krishna REDDY, 2020. "Exports, imports and economic growth in India: An empirical analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(4(625), W), pages 323-330, Winter.
    7. Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra, 2020. "Role of External and Domestic Demand in Economic Growth: A Study of BRICS Countries," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 21(2), pages 547-566, April.
    8. Jacint Balaguer & Tatiana Florica & Jordi Ripollés, 2015. "Foreign trade and economic growth in Spain (1900–2012): the role of energy imports," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 32(3), pages 359-375, December.
    9. Nazife Ozge Kilic & Murat Beser, 2017. "Relationship of Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Eurasian Economy: Panel Data Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(9), pages 1-7, September.
    10. Nenavath Sreenu, 2019. "An Econometric Time-Series Analysis of the Dynamic Relationship among Trade, Financial Development and Economic Growth in India," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(2), pages 155-165, February.
    11. Olufemi Adewale Aluko Adefemi A. Obalade, 2020. "Import-economic growth nexus in selected African countries: An application of the Toda-Yamamoto Granger non-causality test," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 23(2), pages 117-128, November.
    12. Halil Kukaj & Artan Nimani, 2022. "The Causal Relationship Between Export, Import and Harmonized Consumer Price Index: Evidence from Kosovo," Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Richtmann Publishing Ltd, vol. 11, May.
    13. Kolo, Horst & Tzanova, Polia, 2017. "Forecasting the German forest products trade: A vector error correction model," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 30-45.
    14. Cyril Manga & Sufyan Qudah & Alexandru Capatina, 2022. "Comparative Approach of Economic Growth Engines (Senegal vs. Jordan) using Granger Causality Test," REVISTA DE MANAGEMENT COMPARAT INTERNATIONAL/REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL COMPARATIVE MANAGEMENT, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 23(1), pages 189-201, March.
    15. Yao Li & Yugang He, 2024. "Unraveling Korea’s Energy Challenge: The Consequences of Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Energy Use on Economic Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-29, March.
    16. Bakari, Sayef, 2021. "Reinvest the relationship between exports and economic growth in African countries: New insights from innovative econometric methods," MPRA Paper 108785, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Rasha Istaiteyeh & Farah Najem & Nahil Saqfalhait, 2023. "Exports- and Imports-Led Growth: Evidence from a Time Series Analysis, Case of Jordan," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-20, May.
    18. Emna Trabelsi & Nesrine Kachout, 2024. "Agricultural Exports, Other Exports, Imports, and Economic Growth: An ARDL Approach for Tunisia," Journal of Economic Analysis, Anser Press, vol. 3(3), pages 173-189, September.
    19. Byoungki Kim & Phouphet Kyophilavong & Kenji Nozaki & Teerawat Charoenrat, 2022. "Does the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Hold for Myanmar?," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 23(1), pages 48-60, February.

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