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Option Pricing and Filtering with Hidden Markov-Modulated Pure-Jump Processes


  • Robert J. Elliott
  • Tak Kuen Siu


This article discusses the pricing of derivatives in a continuous-time, hidden Markov-modulated, pure-jump asset price model. The hidden Markov chain modulating the pure-jump asset price model describes the evolution of the hidden state of an economy over time. The market model is incomplete. We employ a version of the Esscher transform to select a price kernel for valuation. We derive a valuation formula for European options using a Fourier transform and the correlation theorem. This formula depends on the hidden Markov chain. It is then estimated using a robust filter of the chain.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert J. Elliott & Tak Kuen Siu, 2013. "Option Pricing and Filtering with Hidden Markov-Modulated Pure-Jump Processes," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(1), pages 1-25, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apmtfi:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:1-25 DOI: 10.1080/1350486X.2012.655929

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Jamshidian, Farshid, 1989. " An Exact Bond Option Formula," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 44(1), pages 205-209, March.
    2. Farshid Jamshidian, 1996. "Bond, futures and option evaluation in the quadratic interest rate model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 93-115.
    3. Erik Schlogl & Lutz Schlogl, 2000. "A square root interest rate model fitting discrete initial term structure data," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 183-209.
    4. Ho, Thomas S Y & Lee, Sang-bin, 1986. " Term Structure Movements and Pricing Interest Rate Contingent Claims," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(5), pages 1011-1029, December.
    5. Vasicek, Oldrich, 1977. "An equilibrium characterization of the term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 177-188, November.
    6. Vasicek, Oldrich Alfonso, 1977. "Abstract: An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(04), pages 627-627, November.
    7. Damiano Brigo & Fabio Mercurio, 2001. "A deterministic-shift extension of analytically-tractable and time-homogeneous short-rate models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 369-387.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gradojevic Nikola, 2016. "Multi-criteria classification for pricing European options," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(2), pages 123-139, April.
    2. repec:spr:annopr:v:262:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s10479-016-2210-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen, 2013. "Stochastic differential game, Esscher transform and general equilibrium under a Markovian regime-switching Lévy model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 757-768.
    4. Fan, Kun & Shen, Yang & Siu, Tak Kuen & Wang, Rongming, 2015. "Pricing annuity guarantees under a double regime-switching model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 62-78.
    5. Jun Yu, 2014. "Optimal Asset-Liability Management for an Insurer Under Markov Regime Switching Jump-Diffusion Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 21(4), pages 317-330, November.
    6. Mauricio Junca & Rafael Serrano, 2014. "Utility maximization in pure-jump models driven by marked point processes and nonlinear wealth dynamics," Papers 1411.1103,, revised Sep 2015.
    7. Robert Elliott & Tak Siu, 2015. "Asset Pricing Using Trading Volumes in a Hidden Regime-Switching Environment," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 22(2), pages 133-149, May.
    8. Oscar Lopez & Rafael Serrano, 2014. "Martingale approach to optimal portfolio-consumption problems in Markov-modulated pure-jump models," Papers 1406.3112,
    9. Lin, Shih-Kuei & Peng, Jin-Lung & Chao, Wei-Hsiung & Wu, An-Chi, 2016. "The extension from independence to dependence between jump frequency and jump size in Markov-modulated jump diffusion models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 217-235.
    10. Siu, Tak Kuen, 2016. "A self-exciting threshold jump–diffusion model for option valuation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 168-193.

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