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Digitalisierung und die Zukunft der Arbeit
[Digitisation and the Future of Work]

Author

Listed:
  • Melanie Arntz

    (ZEW–Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH Mannheim)

  • Terry Gregory

    (ZEW–Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH Mannheim)

  • Ulrich Zierahn

    (ZEW–Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH Mannheim)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Durch eine rasant wachsende Rechenleistung können immer mehr Tätigkeiten, die bislang dem Menschen vorbehalten schienen, mittels Maschinen und Algorithmen automatisiert werden. Dieser technologische Wandel hat eine öffentliche Debatte über mögliche Arbeitsplatzverluste und eine drohende Massenarbeitslosigkeit entfacht. Solche Hiobsbotschaften sind aus wissenschaftlicher Sicht aus vier Gründen deutlich überzogen: Erstens werden die technologischen Potenziale zur Automatisierung von Jobs vielfach deutlich überschätzt. Zweitens wird noch lange nicht jedes Automatisierungspotenzial tatsächlich in der betrieblichen Praxis genutzt. Drittens verhindert eine sich immer wieder flexibel anpassende Arbeitsteilung zwischen Mensch und Maschine vielfach Arbeitsplatzverluste. Und viertens setzt Automatisierung Kompensationsmechanismen frei, die dem ursprünglichen Verdrängungseffekt entgegenwirken. Ein Ende der Arbeit ist daher trotz stetig wachsender technischer Möglichkeiten nicht in Sicht, auch wenn dieser tiefgreifende Strukturwandel Arbeitskräfte vor neue Herausforderungen stellt.

Suggested Citation

  • Melanie Arntz & Terry Gregory & Ulrich Zierahn, 2020. "Digitalisierung und die Zukunft der Arbeit [Digitisation and the Future of Work]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(1), pages 41-47, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:100:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s10273-020-2614-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-020-2614-6
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Philipp Lergetporer & Katharina Wedel & Katharina Werner, 2023. "Automatability of Occupations, Workers’ Labor-Market Expectations, and Willingness to Train," CESifo Working Paper Series 10862, CESifo.
    2. Hartmut Seifert, 2022. "Ehrgeizige Pläne der Ampelkoalition zur beruflichen Weiterbildung [Ambitious Plans of the “Traffic Light” Coalition for further Vocational Training]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(5), pages 379-384, May.
    3. Lergetporer, Philipp & Wedel, Katharina & Werner, Katharina, 2023. "Automatability of Occupations, Workers' Labor-Market Expectations, and Willingness to Train," IZA Discussion Papers 16687, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Philipp Lergetporer & Katharina Wedel & Katharina Werner, 2023. "Automatability of Occupations, Workers' Labor-market Expectations, and Willingness to Train," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 488, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    5. Klaus Kornwachs & Nico Stehr, 2021. "Die Frage der Qualifizierung in einer digitalisierten Gesellschaft [The Question of Qualification in a Digitalised Society]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(1), pages 33-39, January.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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