IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v37y2023i15d10.1007_s11269-023-03646-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reservoir Inflow Prediction: A Comparison between Semi Distributed Numerical and Artificial Neural Network Modelling

Author

Listed:
  • Mahesh Shelke

    (Vishwakarma Institute of Information Technology)

  • S. N. Londhe

    (Vishwakarma Institute of Information Technology)

  • P. R. Dixit

    (Vishwakarma Institute of Information Technology)

  • Pravin Kolhe

    (Water Resource Department, Government of Maharashtra)

Abstract

Reservoir inflow is a major component of the reservoir operations management system. It becomes highly essential to predict the accurate reservoir inflow. The lumped models and semi-distributed or fully distributed model implemented to solve a range of specific problems in the prediction of reservoir inflow. The findings in this paper compare a conceptual semi distributed Hydrologic Engineering Centre Hydrologic Modelling System (HEC-HMS) model and an ANN (Artificial Neural Network) based model for the prediction of inflow in the Koyna reservoir catchment, Maharashtra. The performance of the models is assessed using different statistical indicators such as Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Correlation Coefficient (r) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The results confirmed the ability of the semi distributed (rHEC-HMS = 0.92, RMSEHEC-HMS = 129.37 m3/s, MAEHEC-HMS = 21.66 m3/s, NSEHEC-HMS = 0.82 and RSRHEC-HMS = 0.42) and ANN model (rANN = 0.85, RMSEANN = 176.29 m3/s, MAEANN = 14.62 m3/s, NSEANN = 0.69 and RSRANN = 0.55) to capture the effect of the complex hydrological phenomenon, variations of land use and soils of watershed. The study illustrates that the semi distributed HEC-HMS model shows moderately better results compared to ANN model. It may be noted that the ANN predicts the reservoir inflow using only one input i.e., rainfall, whereas the HEC-HMS requires exogenous input parameters and plenty of time for model building compared to ANN. This work will have a significant contribution for planning of reservoir operations within the catchment of Koyna reservoir.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahesh Shelke & S. N. Londhe & P. R. Dixit & Pravin Kolhe, 2023. "Reservoir Inflow Prediction: A Comparison between Semi Distributed Numerical and Artificial Neural Network Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(15), pages 6127-6143, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:37:y:2023:i:15:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03646-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03646-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-023-03646-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-023-03646-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Laleh Parviz & Kabir Rasouli & Ali Torabi Haghighi, 2023. "Improving Hybrid Models for Precipitation Forecasting by Combining Nonlinear Machine Learning Methods," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(10), pages 3833-3855, August.
    2. Mohammad Babaei & Ramtin Moeini & Eghbal Ehsanzadeh, 2019. "Artificial Neural Network and Support Vector Machine Models for Inflow Prediction of Dam Reservoir (Case Study: Zayandehroud Dam Reservoir)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(6), pages 2203-2218, April.
    3. Maryam Zare & Mojtaba Pakparvar & Sajad Jamshidi & Omolbanin Bazrafshan & Gholamreza Ghahari, 2021. "Optimizing the Runoff Estimation with HEC-HMS Model Using Spatial Evapotranspiration by the SEBS Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(8), pages 2633-2648, June.
    4. Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Pouria Yari & Mohammad Delpasand & Xuefeng Chu, 2022. "Reservoir operation under influence of the joint uncertainty of inflow and evaporation," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 2914-2940, February.
    5. Sooyeon Yi & G. Mathias Kondolf & Samuel Sandoval-Solis & Larry Dale, 2022. "Application of Machine Learning-based Energy Use Forecasting for Inter-basin Water Transfer Project," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(14), pages 5675-5694, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ramtin Moeini & Kamran Nasiri & Seyed Hossein Hosseini, 2024. "Predicting the Water Inflow Into the Dam Reservoir Using the Hybrid Intelligent GP-ANN- NSGA-II Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(11), pages 4137-4159, September.
    2. Hossien Riahi-Madvar & Majid Dehghani & Rasoul Memarzadeh & Bahram Gharabaghi, 2021. "Short to Long-Term Forecasting of River Flows by Heuristic Optimization Algorithms Hybridized with ANFIS," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(4), pages 1149-1166, March.
    3. Youngje Choi & Jungwon Ji & Eunkyung Lee & Sunmi Lee & Sooyeon Yi & Jaeeung Yi, 2023. "Developing Optimal Reservoir Rule Curve for Hydropower Reservoir with an add-on Water Supply Function Using Improved Grey Wolf Optimizer," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(5), pages 2063-2082, March.
    4. Sarmad Dashti Latif & Ali Najah Ahmed & Edlic Sathiamurthy & Yuk Feng Huang & Ahmed El-Shafie, 2021. "Evaluation of deep learning algorithm for inflow forecasting: a case study of Durian Tunggal Reservoir, Peninsular Malaysia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 351-369, October.
    5. S. Khorram & N. Jehbez, 2023. "A Hybrid CNN-LSTM Approach for Monthly Reservoir Inflow Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(10), pages 4097-4121, August.
    6. Sarah Di Grande & Mariaelena Berlotti & Salvatore Cavalieri & Roberto Gueli, 2024. "A Machine Learning Approach to Forecasting Hydropower Generation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(20), pages 1-22, October.
    7. Sarmad Dashti Latif & Ali Najah Ahmed, 2024. "Ensuring a generalizable machine learning model for forecasting reservoir inflow in Kurdistan region of Iraq and Australia," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 12513-12544, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:37:y:2023:i:15:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03646-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.