IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v29y2015i14p5413-5427.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Uncertainty Analysis of Transient Flow Modeling and Transient-Based Leak Detection in Elastic Water Pipeline Systems

Author

Listed:
  • Huan-Feng Duan

Abstract

In the transient flow modeling and analysis of practical water pipeline systems, discrepancies commonly exist between numerical simulation results and experimental measurement data. Such discrepancies are usually accounted for the inaccuracy and inadequacy of the used mathematical models and/or the lack of understanding of the hydrodynamic physics for transient pipe flows in the literature. However, the variability or uncertainty of the parameters for such numerical model inputs may also attribute to these discrepancies, especially in complex pipeline systems. This paper investigates the effects of different system uncertainties on the transient flow modeling and analysis such as pipe system design and leak detection. Different factors of pipe and fluid properties as well as system operations and complexities are considered for the uncertainty analysis. The one-dimensional (1D) water hammer model and the Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) method are used in this investigation. The analysis results in this study demonstrate that the variability of the transient flow modeling can be easily affected by the uncertainty factors of wave speed and system complexities, while the transient-based leak detection is more sensitive to the uncertainty factors of wave speed and data measurement than the factors of valve operation and initial hydraulic condition. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Huan-Feng Duan, 2015. "Uncertainty Analysis of Transient Flow Modeling and Transient-Based Leak Detection in Elastic Water Pipeline Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 5413-5427, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:29:y:2015:i:14:p:5413-5427
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-015-1126-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-015-1126-4
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-015-1126-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shanmugam Kumar & Shankar Narasimhan & S. Murty Bhallamudi, 2010. "Parameter Estimation in Water Distribution Networks," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(6), pages 1251-1272, April.
    2. Jonathan Rougier & Michael Goldstein, 2001. "A Bayesian analysis of fluid flow in pipe‐lines," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 50(1), pages 77-93.
    3. Silvia Meniconi & Bruno Brunone & Marco Ferrante & Christian Massari, 2011. "Small Amplitude Sharp Pressure Waves to Diagnose Pipe Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(1), pages 79-96, January.
    4. Raúl Baños & Juan Reca & Juan Martínez & Consolación Gil & Antonio Márquez, 2011. "Resilience Indexes for Water Distribution Network Design: A Performance Analysis Under Demand Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(10), pages 2351-2366, August.
    5. S. Seifollahi-Aghmiuni & Omid Bozorg Haddad & M. Omid & M. Mariño, 2013. "Effects of Pipe Roughness Uncertainty on Water Distribution Network Performance During its Operational Period," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(5), pages 1581-1599, March.
    6. Ali Haghighi & Helena Ramos, 2012. "Detection of Leakage Freshwater and Friction Factor Calibration in Drinking Networks Using Central Force Optimization," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(8), pages 2347-2363, June.
    7. Helena Ramos & Silja Tamminen & Dídia Covas, 2009. "Water Supply System Performance for Different Pipe Materials Part II: Sensitivity Analysis to Pressure Variation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(2), pages 367-393, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sang Hyun Kim, 2017. "Multiple Leakage Function for a Simple Pipeline System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(9), pages 2659-2673, July.
    2. Sanghyun Kim, 2016. "Impedance Method for Abnormality Detection of a Branched Pipeline System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(3), pages 1101-1115, February.
    3. Zhe Lu & Yuntong She & Mark Loewen, 2017. "A Sensitivity Analysis of a Computer Model-Based Leak Detection System for Oil Pipelines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-17, August.
    4. Yuan Huang & Huan-Feng Duan & Ming Zhao & Qingzhou Zhang & Hongbin Zhao & Ke Zhang, 2017. "Transient Influence Zone Based Decomposition of Water Distribution Networks for Efficient Transient Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(6), pages 1915-1929, April.
    5. Huan-Feng Duan, 2018. "Accuracy and Sensitivity Evaluation of TFR Method for Leak Detection in Multiple-Pipeline Water Supply Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(6), pages 2147-2164, April.
    6. Caterina Capponi & Silvia Meniconi & Pedro J. Lee & Bruno Brunone & Marco Cifrodelli, 2020. "Time-domain Analysis of Laboratory Experiments on the Transient Pressure Damping in a Leaky Polymeric Pipe," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(2), pages 501-514, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ali Haghighi, 2015. "Analysis of Transient Flow Caused by Fluctuating Consumptions in Pipe Networks: A Many-Objective Genetic Algorithm Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2233-2248, May.
    2. Sang Hyun Kim, 2018. "Development of Multiple Leakage Detection Method for a Reservoir Pipeline Valve System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(6), pages 2099-2112, April.
    3. Sang Hyun Kim, 2017. "Multiple Leakage Function for a Simple Pipeline System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(9), pages 2659-2673, July.
    4. Chi Zhang & Martin F. Lambert & Jinzhe Gong & Aaron C. Zecchin & Angus R. Simpson & Mark L. Stephens, 2020. "Bayesian Inverse Transient Analysis for Pipeline Condition Assessment: Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(9), pages 2807-2820, July.
    5. Liu, Wei & Song, Zhaoyang & Ouyang, Min, 2020. "Lifecycle operational resilience assessment of urban water distribution networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    6. Sanghyun Kim, 2016. "Impedance Method for Abnormality Detection of a Branched Pipeline System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(3), pages 1101-1115, February.
    7. Christian Massari & Tian-Chyi Yeh & Bruno Brunone & Marco Ferrante & Silvia Meniconi, 2013. "Diagnosis of Pipe Systems by means of a Stochastic Successive Linear Estimator," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(13), pages 4637-4654, October.
    8. Chi Zhang & Jinzhe Gong & Martin F. Lambert & Angus R. Simpson & Aaron C. Zecchin, 2019. "Sensor Placement Strategy for Pipeline Condition Assessment Using Inverse Transient Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(8), pages 2761-2774, June.
    9. Sanghyun Kim, 2019. "Valve Maneuver Prediction in Simple and Complicated Pipeline Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(14), pages 4671-4685, November.
    10. Aditya Gupta & K. D. Kulat, 2018. "A Selective Literature Review on Leak Management Techniques for Water Distribution System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(10), pages 3247-3269, August.
    11. S. Seifollahi-Aghmiuni & O. Bozorg Haddad & M. Mariño, 2013. "Water Distribution Network Risk Analysis Under Simultaneous Consumption and Roughness Uncertainties," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2595-2610, May.
    12. Habib Akbari-Alashti & Omid Bozorg Haddad & Miguel Mariño, 2015. "Evaluation of a Developed Discrete Time-Series Method in Flow Forecasting Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3211-3225, July.
    13. Helena Ramos & D. Loureiro & A. Lopes & C. Fernandes & D. Covas & L. Reis & M. Cunha, 2010. "Evaluation of Chlorine Decay in Drinking Water Systems for Different Flow Conditions: From Theory to Practice," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(4), pages 815-834, March.
    14. Raziyeh Farmani & David Butler, 2014. "Implications of Urban Form on Water Distribution Systems Performance," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(1), pages 83-97, January.
    15. Iman Ahmadianfar & Bijay Halder & Salim Heddam & Leonardo Goliatt & Mou Leong Tan & Zulfaqar Sa’adi & Zainab Al-Khafaji & Raad Z. Homod & Tarik A. Rashid & Zaher Mundher Yaseen, 2023. "An Enhanced Multioperator Runge–Kutta Algorithm for Optimizing Complex Water Engineering Problems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, January.
    16. Gustavo Meirelles & Daniel Manzi & Bruno Brentan & Thaisa Goulart & Edevar Luvizotto, 2017. "Calibration Model for Water Distribution Network Using Pressures Estimated by Artificial Neural Networks," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(13), pages 4339-4351, October.
    17. Salah Saleh & Tiku Tanyimboh, 2014. "Optimal Design of Water Distribution Systems Based on Entropy and Topology," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(11), pages 3555-3575, September.
    18. Mansouri, R., 2018. "Economical Optimization of the Pressure Irrigation Networks by using Developed Central Force Optimization Algorithm," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 275982, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    19. Habib Akbari-Alashti & Omid Bozorg Haddad & Miguel Mariño, 2015. "Application of Fixed Length Gene Genetic Programming (FLGGP) in Hydropower Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3357-3370, July.
    20. Jian Sha & Zeli Li & Dennis Swaney & Bongghi Hong & Wei Wang & Yuqiu Wang, 2014. "Application of a Bayesian Watershed Model Linking Multivariate Statistical Analysis to Support Watershed-Scale Nitrogen Management in China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(11), pages 3681-3695, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:29:y:2015:i:14:p:5413-5427. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.