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Robust estimation in beta regression via maximum L $$_q$$ q -likelihood

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  • Terezinha K. A. Ribeiro

    (University of Brasília)

  • Silvia L. P. Ferrari

    (University of São Paulo)

Abstract

Beta regression models are widely used for modeling continuous data limited to the unit interval, such as proportions, fractions, and rates. The inference for the parameters of beta regression models is commonly based on maximum likelihood estimation. However, it is known to be sensitive to discrepant observations. In some cases, one atypical data point can lead to severe bias and erroneous conclusions about the features of interest. In this work, we develop a robust estimation procedure for beta regression models based on the maximization of a reparameterized L $$_q$$ q -likelihood. The new estimator offers a trade-off between robustness and efficiency through a tuning constant. To select the optimal value of the tuning constant, we propose a data-driven method which ensures full efficiency in the absence of outliers. We also improve on an alternative robust estimator by applying our data-driven method to select its optimum tuning constant. Monte Carlo simulations suggest marked robustness of the two robust estimators with little loss of efficiency when the proposed selection scheme for the tuning constant is employed. Applications to three datasets are presented and discussed. As a by-product of the proposed methodology, residual diagnostic plots based on robust fits highlight outliers that would be masked under maximum likelihood estimation.

Suggested Citation

  • Terezinha K. A. Ribeiro & Silvia L. P. Ferrari, 2023. "Robust estimation in beta regression via maximum L $$_q$$ q -likelihood," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 321-353, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:64:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s00362-022-01320-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s00362-022-01320-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ospina, Raydonal & Ferrari, Silvia L.P., 2012. "A general class of zero-or-one inflated beta regression models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 1609-1623.
    2. Gómez-Déniz, Emilio & Sordo, Miguel A. & Calderín-Ojeda, Enrique, 2014. "The Log–Lindley distribution as an alternative to the beta regression model with applications in insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 49-57.
    3. Patricia Espinheira & Silvia Ferrari & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2008. "On beta regression residuals," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 407-419.
    4. Silvia Ferrari & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2004. "Beta Regression for Modelling Rates and Proportions," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(7), pages 799-815.
    5. La Vecchia, Davide & Camponovo, Lorenzo & Ferrari, Davide, 2015. "Robust heart rate variability analysis by generalized entropy minimization," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 137-151.
    6. Davide Ferrari & Davide La Vecchia, 2012. "On robust estimation via pseudo-additive information," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 99(1), pages 238-244.
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