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Conservatism, Growth and the Role of Accounting Numbers in the Fundamental Analysis Process

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  • Steven J. Monahan

    (INSEAD)

Abstract

I evaluate the effects of conservative accounting for research and development (R&D) and past growth in R&D on: (1) the relation between aggregate earnings (deflated by price) and contemporaneous stock return, and (2) the association between estimates of value derived from the residual income valuation model (i.e., RIV estimates) and equity market value. I show that the conservative treatment of R&D affects the earnings/return relation only for firms that experience high growth in R&D during the return interval of interest. I also demonstrate that the effect of conservative accounting for R&D on the association between RIV estimates and equity market values is increasing in past growth in R&D.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven J. Monahan, 2005. "Conservatism, Growth and the Role of Accounting Numbers in the Fundamental Analysis Process," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 227-260, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:reaccs:v:10:y:2005:i:2:d:10.1007_s11142-005-1530-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11142-005-1530-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Easton, Peter D. & Harris, Trevor S. & Ohlson, James A., 1992. "Aggregate accounting earnings can explain most of security returns : The case of long return intervals," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2-3), pages 119-142, August.
    2. Dechow, Patricia M. & Hutton, Amy P. & Sloan, Richard G., 1999. "An empirical assessment of the residual income valuation model1," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1-3), pages 1-34, January.
    3. Lev, Baruch & Sougiannis, Theodore, 1996. "The capitalization, amortization, and value-relevance of R&D," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 107-138, February.
    4. Fama, Eugene F & MacBeth, James D, 1973. "Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 607-636, May-June.
    5. Zhang, Xiao-Jun, 2000. "Conservative accounting and equity valuation," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 125-149, February.
    6. Easton, Pd & Harris, Ts, 1991. "Earnings As An Explanatory Variable For Returns," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 19-36.
    7. Vuong, Quang H, 1989. "Likelihood Ratio Tests for Model Selection and Non-nested Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 307-333, March.
    8. Ohlson, JA & Zhang, XJ, 1998. "Accrual accounting and equity valuation," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36, pages 85-111.
    9. Feltham, GA & Ohlson, JA, 1996. "Uncertainty resolution and the theory of depreciation measurement," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 209-234.
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    Cited by:

    1. Madhav V. Rajan & Stefan Reichelstein & Mark T. Soliman, 2007. "Conservatism, growth, and return on investment," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 325-370, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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