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The employment impact of demographic change: A regional analysis


  • Peter Batey

    () (Department of Civic Design, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK)

  • Moss Madden

    () (Department of Civic Design, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK)


The central concern of this article is with measurement of the economic impact of demographic change at a regional level. To facilitate this, a method is developed which involves the linking together of two hitherto separate analytical techniques: labour market accounts and extended input-output models. The application of the method is demonstrated by reference to three UK regions - West Midlands, Merseyside, and East Anglia - with contrasting demographic and economic histories over the time intervals 1971-1981 and 1981-1991. The employment impact of consumption derived from demographic change is measured in relation to individual elements of the labour market account and comparisons are made with the effects of economic change over the same time periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Batey & Moss Madden, 1999. "The employment impact of demographic change: A regional analysis," Papers in Regional Science, Springer;Regional Science Association International, vol. 78(1), pages 69-87.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:presci:v:78:y:1999:i:1:p:69-87 Note: Received: 27 February 1997

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. ten Raa, Thijs & Wolff, Edward N., 2000. "Engines of growth in the US economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 473-489, December.
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    10. Bart Los & Bart Verspagen, 2000. "R&D spillovers and productivity: Evidence from U.S. manufacturing microdata," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 127-148.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hetze, Pascal & Ochsen, Carsten, 2005. "How aging of the labor force affects equilibrium unemployment," Thuenen-Series of Applied Economic Theory 57, University of Rostock, Institute of Economics.

    More about this item


    Input-output analysis; demography; employment elasticities;

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population


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