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Health State Utilities Associated with False-Positive Cancer Screening Results

Author

Listed:
  • Louis S. Matza

    (Evidera)

  • Timothy A. Howell

    (Evidera)

  • Eric T. Fung

    (GRAIL, LLC., a subsidiary of Illumina Inc.)

  • Sam M. Janes

    (University College London)

  • Michael Seiden

    (GRAIL, LLC.)

  • Allan Hackshaw

    (University College London)

  • Lincoln Nadauld

    (Intermountain Healthcare)

  • Hayley Karn

    (Evidera)

  • Karen C. Chung

    (GRAIL, LLC., a subsidiary of Illumina Inc.)

Abstract

Introduction Early cancer detection can significantly improve patient outcomes and reduce mortality rates. Novel cancer screening approaches, including multi-cancer early detection tests, have been developed. Cost-utility analyses will be needed to examine their value, and these models require health state utilities. The purpose of this study was to estimate the disutility (i.e., decrease in health state utility) associated with false-positive cancer screening results. Methods In composite time trade-off interviews using a 1-year time horizon, UK general population participants valued 10 health state vignettes describing cancer screening with true-negative or false-positive results. Each false-positive vignette described a common diagnostic pathway following a false-positive result suggesting lung, colorectal, breast, or pancreatic cancer. Every pathway ended with a negative result (no cancer detected). The disutility of each false positive was calculated as the difference between the true-negative and each false-positive health state, and because of the 1-year time horizon, each disutility can be interpreted as a quality-adjusted life-year decrement associated with each type of false-positive experience. Results A total of 203 participants completed interviews (49.8% male; mean age = 42.0 years). The mean (SD) utility for the health state describing a true-negative result was 0.958 (0.065). Utilities for false-positive health states ranged from 0.847 (0.145) to 0.932 (0.059). Disutilities for false positives ranged from − 0.031 to − 0.111 (− 0.041 to − 0.111 for lung cancer; − 0.079 for colorectal cancer; − 0.031 to − 0.067 for breast cancer; − 0.048 to − 0.088 for pancreatic cancer). Conclusion All false-positive results were associated with a disutility. Greater disutility was associated with more invasive follow-up diagnostic procedures, longer duration of uncertainty regarding the eventual diagnosis, and perceived severity of the suspected cancer type. Utility values estimated in this study would be useful for economic modeling examining the value of cancer screening procedures.

Suggested Citation

  • Louis S. Matza & Timothy A. Howell & Eric T. Fung & Sam M. Janes & Michael Seiden & Allan Hackshaw & Lincoln Nadauld & Hayley Karn & Karen C. Chung, 2024. "Health State Utilities Associated with False-Positive Cancer Screening Results," PharmacoEconomics - Open, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 263-276, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:pharmo:v:8:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s41669-023-00443-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s41669-023-00443-w
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Linda D. Mackeigan & Bernie J. O'Brien & Paul I. Oh, 1999. "Holistic versus Composite Preferences for Lifetime Treatment Sequences for Type 2 Diabetes," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 19(2), pages 113-120, April.
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    3. Karen Gerard & Katharine Johnston & Jackie Brown, 1999. "The role of a pre‐scored multi‐attribute health classification measure in validating condition‐specific health state descriptions," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(8), pages 685-699, December.
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