IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v68y2013i3p1217-1241.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatiotemporal dynamics: the need for an innovative approach in mountain hazard risk management

Author

Listed:
  • Sven Fuchs
  • Margreth Keiler
  • Sergey Sokratov
  • Alexander Shnyparkov

Abstract

Starting with an overview on losses due to mountain hazards in the Russian Federation and the European Alps, the question is raised why a substantial number of events still are recorded—despite considerable efforts in hazard mitigation and risk reduction. The main reason for this paradox lies in a missing dynamic risk-based approach, and it is shown that these dynamics have different roots: firstly, neglecting climate change and systems dynamics, the development of hazard scenarios is based on the static approach of design events. Secondly, due to economic development and population dynamics, the elements at risk exposed are subject to spatial and temporal changes. These issues are discussed with respect to temporal and spatial demands. As a result, it is shown how risk is dynamic on a long-term and short-term scale, which has to be acknowledged in the risk concept if this concept is targeted at a sustainable development of mountain regions. A conceptual model is presented that can be used for dynamical risk assessment, and it is shown by different management strategies how this model may be converted into practice. Furthermore, the interconnectedness and interaction between hazard and risk are addressed in order to enhance prevention, the level of protection and the degree of preparedness. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Sven Fuchs & Margreth Keiler & Sergey Sokratov & Alexander Shnyparkov, 2013. "Spatiotemporal dynamics: the need for an innovative approach in mountain hazard risk management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(3), pages 1217-1241, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:68:y:2013:i:3:p:1217-1241
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0508-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11069-012-0508-7
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-012-0508-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Edmund Penning-Rowsell & Peter Floyd & David Ramsbottom & Suresh Surendran, 2005. "Estimating Injury and Loss of Life in Floods: A Deterministic Framework," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 36(1), pages 43-64, September.
    2. Dieter Rickenmann, 1999. "Empirical Relationships for Debris Flows," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 19(1), pages 47-77, January.
    3. Reinhold Totschnig & Walter Sedlacek & Sven Fuchs, 2011. "A quantitative vulnerability function for fluvial sediment transport," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(2), pages 681-703, August.
    4. Martin Laternser & Martin Schneebeli, 2002. "Temporal Trend and Spatial Distribution of Avalanche Activity during the Last 50 Years in Switzerland," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 27(3), pages 201-230, November.
    5. K. Sattler & M. Keiler & A. Zischg & L. Schrott, 2011. "On the Connection between Debris Flow Activity and Permafrost Degradation: A Case Study from the Schnalstal, South Tyrolean Alps, Italy," Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(3), pages 254-265, July.
    6. Sven Fuchs & Christian Kuhlicke & Volker Meyer, 2011. "Editorial for the special issue: vulnerability to natural hazards—the challenge of integration," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(2), pages 609-619, August.
    7. Sven Fuchs & Michael Bründl, 2005. "Damage Potential and Losses Resulting from Snow Avalanches in Settlements of the Canton of Grisons, Switzerland," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 34(1), pages 53-69, January.
    8. M. Papathoma-Köhle & M. Kappes & M. Keiler & T. Glade, 2011. "Physical vulnerability assessment for alpine hazards: state of the art and future needs," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(2), pages 645-680, August.
    9. Sven Fuchs & Christine Ornetsmüller & Reinhold Totschnig, 2012. "Spatial scan statistics in vulnerability assessment: an application to mountain hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(3), pages 2129-2151, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hector Diaz & Bruno Mazzorana & Bernhard Gems & Ivan Rojas & Nicole Santibañez & Pablo Iribarren & Mario Pino & Andrés Iroumé, 2022. "What do biphasic flow experiments reveal on the variability of exposure on alluvial fans and which implications for risk assessment result from this?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 3099-3120, April.
    2. V. I. Osipov & V. I. Larionov & V. N. Burova & N. I. Frolova & S. P. Sushchev, 2017. "Methodology of natural risk assessment in Russia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(1), pages 17-41, August.
    3. Sven Fuchs & Alexandr Shnyparkov & Vincent Jomelli & Nikolay Kazakov & Sergey Sokratov, 2017. "Editorial to the special issue on natural hazards and risk research in Russia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(1), pages 1-16, August.
    4. Ekaterina Kazakova & V. Lobkina & Yu. Gensiorovskiy & S. Zhiruev, 2017. "Large-scale assessment of avalanche and debris flow hazards in the Sakhalin region, Russian Federation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(1), pages 237-251, August.
    5. Powell, J.H. & Mustafee, N. & Chen, A.S. & Hammond, M., 2016. "System-focused risk identification and assessment for disaster preparedness: Dynamic threat analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 254(2), pages 550-564.
    6. Yang Zhou & Yansui Liu & Wenxiang Wu & Ning Li, 2015. "Integrated risk assessment of multi-hazards in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(1), pages 257-280, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. R. L. Ciurean & H. Hussin & C. J. Westen & M. Jaboyedoff & P. Nicolet & L. Chen & S. Frigerio & T. Glade, 2017. "Multi-scale debris flow vulnerability assessment and direct loss estimation of buildings in the Eastern Italian Alps," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(2), pages 929-957, January.
    2. Aditi Singh & D. P. Kanungo & Shilpa Pal, 2019. "Physical vulnerability assessment of buildings exposed to landslides in India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(2), pages 753-790, March.
    3. Sven Fuchs & Jörn Birkmann & Thomas Glade, 2012. "Vulnerability assessment in natural hazard and risk analysis: current approaches and future challenges," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(3), pages 1969-1975, December.
    4. Konstantinos Karagiorgos & Micha Heiser & Thomas Thaler & Johannes Hübl & Sven Fuchs, 2016. "Micro-sized enterprises: vulnerability to flash floods," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(2), pages 1091-1107, November.
    5. Mudassir Ali Khan & Zahiraniza Mustaffa & Indra Sati Hamonangan Harahap & Muhammad Bello Ibrahim & Mohamed Ezzat Al-Atroush, 2022. "Assessment of Physical Vulnerability and Uncertainties for Debris Flow Hazard: A Review concerning Climate Change," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-22, December.
    6. Wen-Chun Lo & Ting-Chi Tsao & Chih-Hao Hsu, 2012. "Building vulnerability to debris flows in Taiwan: a preliminary study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(3), pages 2107-2128, December.
    7. S. Balica & N. Wright & F. Meulen, 2012. "A flood vulnerability index for coastal cities and its use in assessing climate change impacts," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 73-105, October.
    8. Țîncu, Roxana & Zêzere, José Luis & Crăciun, Iulia & Lazăr, Gabriel & Lazăr, Iuliana, 2020. "Quantitative micro-scale flood risk assessment in a section of the Trotuș River, Romania," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    9. Sven Fuchs & Christine Ornetsmüller & Reinhold Totschnig, 2012. "Spatial scan statistics in vulnerability assessment: an application to mountain hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(3), pages 2129-2151, December.
    10. Stefan Kienberger & Thomas Blaschke & Rukhe Zaidi, 2013. "A framework for spatio-temporal scales and concepts from different disciplines: the ‘vulnerability cube’," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(3), pages 1343-1369, September.
    11. Holger Cammerer & Annegret Thieken & Peter Verburg, 2013. "Spatio-temporal dynamics in the flood exposure due to land use changes in the Alpine Lech Valley in Tyrol (Austria)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(3), pages 1243-1270, September.
    12. M. Jakob & D. Stein & M. Ulmi, 2012. "Vulnerability of buildings to debris flow impact," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 60(2), pages 241-261, January.
    13. M. Papathoma-Köhle & M. Keiler & R. Totschnig & T. Glade, 2012. "Improvement of vulnerability curves using data from extreme events: debris flow event in South Tyrol," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(3), pages 2083-2105, December.
    14. Otar Varazanashvili & Nino Tsereteli & Avtandil Amiranashvili & Emil Tsereteli & Elizbar Elizbarashvili & Jemal Dolidze & Lado Qaldani & Manana Saluqvadze & Shota Adamia & Nika Arevadze & Aleksandre G, 2012. "Vulnerability, hazards and multiple risk assessment for Georgia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(3), pages 2021-2056, December.
    15. Qigen Lin & Ying Wang & Tianxue Liu & Yingqi Zhu & Qi Sui, 2017. "The Vulnerability of People to Landslides: A Case Study on the Relationship between the Casualties and Volume of Landslides in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-12, February.
    16. C. Promper & T. Glade, 2016. "Multilayer-exposure maps as a basis for a regional vulnerability assessment for landslides: applied in Waidhofen/Ybbs, Austria," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(1), pages 111-127, May.
    17. Sven Fuchs & Magdalena Thöni & Maria McAlpin & Urs Gruber & Michael Bründl, 2007. "Avalanche Hazard Mitigation Strategies Assessed by Cost Effectiveness Analyses and Cost Benefit Analyses—evidence from Davos, Switzerland," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 41(1), pages 113-129, April.
    18. Christoph Rheinberger & Hans E. Romang & Michael Bründl, 2013. "Proportional loss functions for debris flow events," Post-Print hal-02643847, HAL.
    19. Jia Xu & Makoto Takahashi, 2021. "Progressing vulnerability of the immigrants in an urbanizing village in coastal China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(5), pages 8012-8026, May.
    20. Jin‐Feng Wang & Lian‐Fa Li, 2008. "Improving Tsunami Warning Systems with Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System Input," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(6), pages 1653-1668, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:68:y:2013:i:3:p:1217-1241. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.