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Comprehensive evaluation of urban flood-bearing risks based on combined compound fuzzy matter-element and entropy weight model

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  • Hong Lv

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Xinjian Guan

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Yu Meng

    (Zhengzhou University)

Abstract

The extreme precipitation events caused by climate change and the rapid development of urbanization have brought hidden flood risks to the cities. This paper comprehensively considered two major factors of vulnerability of urban flood-bearing and disaster prevention and mitigation (DPAM) capacity and built a comprehensive evaluation index system for urban flood-bearing risks. Secondly, a combined model consisted of composite fuzzy matter-element and entropy weight model was constructed to calculate the comprehensive risk indicator. Finally, the Zhengzhou City was taken as an example, the comprehensive indices of urban flood-bearing risk from 2006 to 2015 were evaluated. The results showed that the comprehensive risk of Zhengzhou City was generally on a slow upward trend, from II level (moderate-risk) in 2006 to III level (secondary high-risk) in 2015, which was mainly due to the mismatch between the rapid development of urbanization and the slow improvement of DPAM capabilities. This paper is expected to provide scientific reference and technical support for urban flood disaster prevention and sponge city construction.

Suggested Citation

  • Hong Lv & Xinjian Guan & Yu Meng, 2020. "Comprehensive evaluation of urban flood-bearing risks based on combined compound fuzzy matter-element and entropy weight model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 1823-1841, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04056-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04056-y
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    2. Wei Wang & Chenhong Xia & Chaofeng Liu & Ziyi Wang, 2020. "Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(2), pages 1181-1209, November.
    3. Xianghai Li & Mengjie Li & Kaikai Cui & Tao Lu & Yanli Xie & Delin Liu, 2022. "Evaluation of Comprehensive Emergency Capacity to Urban Flood Disaster: An Example from Zhengzhou City in Henan Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-16, October.

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