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Past and future hydrogeological risk assessment under climate change conditions over urban settlements and infrastructure systems: the case of a sub-regional area of Piedmont, Italy

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  • Ellena Marta

    (Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC)
    Dept. Environmnetal Sciences, Informatics, and Statistics, Università Ca’Foscari Venezia)

  • Ricciardi Guglielmo

    (Istituto Italiano di Ricerca e Sviluppo (ISIRES))

  • Barbato Giuliana

    (Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC))

  • Buffa Alessandra

    (Istituto Italiano di Ricerca e Sviluppo (ISIRES))

  • Villani Veronica

    (Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC))

  • Mercogliano Paola

    (Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC))

Abstract

Hydrogeological impacts due to flood and landslides are among the most significant disasters in the world. In the last decades, these events result in forthcoming losses of life and damages to private and public properties and criticalities increase due to very often increasing losses as consequence of changes in the rainfall regimes as well as the increase in average temperatures. This paper describes an applied hydrogeological risk assessment methodology carried out as part of an interdisciplinary European project between France and Italy (Interreg Alcotra ARTACLIM). We developed a practical framework to assess the risk of urban settlements and infrastructural assets within a sub-regional area of Piedmont (north-west of Italy). Past and future climate drivers are here analyzed using high-resolution data to highlight the temporal and spatial distribution of elements under threat. Using geographic information systems, we elaborate climate and socioeconomic data to develop an effective procedure for a sub-regional integrated research on the intrinsic and external conditions of potential instability. The results of the analyses produce a geo-localized risk score that can be used to rank assets in a screening process that aims to assist urban planner and local policymaker to prioritize the adaptation measures required for taking action to reduce hydrogeological damages to their assets.

Suggested Citation

  • Ellena Marta & Ricciardi Guglielmo & Barbato Giuliana & Buffa Alessandra & Villani Veronica & Mercogliano Paola, 2020. "Past and future hydrogeological risk assessment under climate change conditions over urban settlements and infrastructure systems: the case of a sub-regional area of Piedmont, Italy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(1), pages 275-305, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:102:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-020-03925-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-03925-w
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jessica Mercer, 2010. "Disaster risk reduction or climate change adaptation: Are we reinventing the wheel?," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 247-264.
    2. Angela Connelly & Jeremy Carter & John Handley & Stephen Hincks, 2018. "Enhancing the Practical Utility of Risk Assessments in Climate Change Adaptation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-12, May.
    3. Berry Gersonius & Richard Ashley & Assela Pathirana & Chris Zevenbergen, 2013. "Climate change uncertainty: building flexibility into water and flood risk infrastructure," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 116(2), pages 411-423, January.
    4. Warner Marzocchi & Alexander Garcia-Aristizabal & Paolo Gasparini & Maria Mastellone & Angela Di Ruocco, 2012. "Basic principles of multi-risk assessment: a case study in Italy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(2), pages 551-573, June.
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