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The psychology of dynamic probability judgment: order effect, normative theories, and experimental methodology

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  • Jean Baratgin
  • Guy Politzer

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  • Jean Baratgin & Guy Politzer, 2007. "The psychology of dynamic probability judgment: order effect, normative theories, and experimental methodology," Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 6(1), pages 53-66, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:minsoc:v:6:y:2007:i:1:p:53-66
    DOI: 10.1007/s11299-006-0025-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Adelman, Leonard & Tolcott, Martin A. & Bresnick, Terry A., 1993. "Examining the Effect of Information Order on Expert Judgment," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 348-369, December.
    2. Bernard Walliser & Denis Zwirn, 2002. "Can Bayes' Rule be Justified by Cognitive Rationality Principles?," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 95-135, September.
    3. Jean Baratgin & Guy Politzer, 2006. "Is the mind Bayesian? The case for agnosticism," Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 5(1), pages 1-38, June.
    4. Curley, Shawn P. & Golden, James I., 1994. "Using Belief Functions to Represent Degrees of Belief," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 271-303, May.
    5. Guy Politzer & Laura Macchi, 2000. "Reasoning and pragmatics," Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 1(1), pages 73-93, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Baratgin, Jean, 2009. "Updating our beliefs about inconsistency: The Monty-Hall case," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 67-95, January.

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