IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/ijsaem/v8y2017i3d10.1007_s13198-016-0563-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reliability analysis of multi-state emergency detection system using simulation approach based on fuzzy failure rate

Author

Listed:
  • Mohammad Nadjafi

    (Aerospace Research Institute (Ministry of Science, Research and Technology))

  • Mohammad Ali Farsi

    (Aerospace Research Institute (Ministry of Science, Research and Technology))

  • Hossein Jabbari

    (Tabriz University)

Abstract

Fault tree analysis is one of the most useful techniques in reliability analysis of multistate systems that analyze and handle complex systems via Monte Carlo simulations or mathematical approaches. Traditional fault tree cannot depict the exact evaluation of components and systems failures with respect to simplex analysis. On the other hand, the exact evaluation of system reliability with unknown data owning to components and elements is still difficult. Therefore, in this paper, in order to overcome this problem as for the quantitative analysis of fault trees, the reliability analysis of a multistate system (i.e. Launch Emergency Detection System) based on fault tree analysis and fuzzy failure rates is studied. Accordingly, using fuzzy arithmetic, events time-to-failure are generated and then the Top Event time to failure is calculated. Finally, the results of the analytical solution are compared with the results attained by presented approach and shows that, in spite of less effort and time consuming, this method has more accuracy and suitable for all real industrial and complex systems. This paper has further developed the method of FTA for the most generic case where both the system and the components have multiple failure states.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Nadjafi & Mohammad Ali Farsi & Hossein Jabbari, 2017. "Reliability analysis of multi-state emergency detection system using simulation approach based on fuzzy failure rate," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 8(3), pages 532-541, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:ijsaem:v:8:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s13198-016-0563-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s13198-016-0563-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s13198-016-0563-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s13198-016-0563-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Huang, Chin-Yu & Chang, Yung-Ruei, 2007. "An improved decomposition scheme for assessing the reliability of embedded systems by using dynamic fault trees," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(10), pages 1403-1412.
    2. Ramirez-Marquez, Jose Emmanuel & Coit, David W., 2007. "Multi-state component criticality analysis for reliability improvement in multi-state systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(12), pages 1608-1619.
    3. Enrico Zio, 2013. "Monte Carlo Simulation: The Method," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 19-58, Springer.
    4. Lindhe, Andreas & Norberg, Tommy & Rosén, Lars, 2012. "Approximate dynamic fault tree calculations for modelling water supply risks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 61-71.
    5. Enrico Zio, 2013. "The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, edition 127, number 978-1-4471-4588-2, December.
    6. Enrico Zio, 2013. "System Reliability and Risk Analysis by Monte Carlo Simulation," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 59-81, Springer.
    7. Zio, E., 2009. "Reliability engineering: Old problems and new challenges," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 125-141.
    8. Enrico Zio & Nicola Pedroni, 2010. "Reliability Estimation by Advanced Monte Carlo Simulation," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: Javier Faulin & Angel A. Juan & Sebastián Martorell & José-Emmanuel Ramírez-Márquez (ed.), Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems, chapter 0, pages 3-39, Springer.
    9. Maxim Finkelstein, 2008. "Failure Rate Modelling for Reliability and Risk," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, number 978-1-84800-986-8, December.
    10. Richard E. Barlow & Alexander S. Wu, 1978. "Coherent Systems with Multi-State Components," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 3(4), pages 275-281, November.
    11. Enrico Zio, 2013. "System Reliability and Risk Analysis," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 7-17, Springer.
    12. Yashi Vishwakarma & S. P. Sharma, 2016. "Uncertainty analysis of an industrial system using Intuitionistic Fuzzy Set Theory," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 7(1), pages 73-83, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Aibo & Zhang, Tieling & Barros, Anne & Liu, Yiliu, 2020. "Optimization of maintenances following proof tests for the final element of a safety-instrumented system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    2. Xiao, Yong & Wei, Shanbi & Chai, Yi & Pan, Tianle & Hou, Yang, 2023. "Reliability optimization of flexible test system based on pyro-mechanical device products production driven," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Salomon, Julian & Winnewisser, Niklas & Wei, Pengfei & Broggi, Matteo & Beer, Michael, 2021. "Efficient reliability analysis of complex systems in consideration of imprecision," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    2. Di Maio, Francesco & Pettorossi, Chiara & Zio, Enrico, 2023. "Entropy-driven Monte Carlo simulation method for approximating the survival signature of complex infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    3. Wang, Fan & Li, Heng, 2018. "System reliability under prescribed marginals and correlations: Are we correct about the effect of correlations?," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 94-104.
    4. Penttinen, Jussi-Pekka & Niemi, Arto & Gutleber, Johannes & Koskinen, Kari T. & Coatanéa, Eric & Laitinen, Jouko, 2019. "An open modelling approach for availability and reliability of systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 387-399.
    5. Gascard, Eric & Simeu-Abazi, Zineb, 2018. "Quantitative Analysis of Dynamic Fault Trees by means of Monte Carlo Simulations: Event-Driven Simulation Approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 487-504.
    6. Kim, Hyeonmin & Kim, Jung Taek & Heo, Gyunyoung, 2018. "Failure rate updates using condition-based prognostics in probabilistic safety assessments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 225-233.
    7. Shafiee, Mahmood & Finkelstein, Maxim & Bérenguer, Christophe, 2015. "An opportunistic condition-based maintenance policy for offshore wind turbine blades subjected to degradation and environmental shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 463-471.
    8. Guowang Meng & Hongle Li & Bo Wu & Guangyang Liu & Huazheng Ye & Yiming Zuo, 2023. "Prediction of the Tunnel Collapse Probability Using SVR-Based Monte Carlo Simulation: A Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-21, April.
    9. Michael Saidani & Alissa Kendall & Bernard Yannou & Yann Leroy & François Cluzel, 2019. "Closing the loop on platinum from catalytic converters: Contributions from material flow analysis and circularity indicators," Post-Print hal-02094798, HAL.
    10. Michele Compare & Francesco Di Maio & Enrico Zio & Fausto Carlevaro & Sara Mattafirri, 2016. "Improving scheduled maintenance by missing data reconstruction: A double-loop Monte Carlo approach," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 230(5), pages 502-511, October.
    11. Chiacchio, Ferdinando & D’Urso, Diego & Famoso, Fabio & Brusca, Sebastian & Aizpurua, Jose Ignacio & Catterson, Victoria M., 2018. "On the use of dynamic reliability for an accurate modelling of renewable power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 605-621.
    12. Tito G. Amaral & Vitor Fernão Pires & Armando Cordeiro & Daniel Foito & João F. Martins & Julia Yamnenko & Tetyana Tereschenko & Liudmyla Laikova & Ihor Fedin, 2023. "Incipient Fault Diagnosis of a Grid-Connected T-Type Multilevel Inverter Using Multilayer Perceptron and Walsh Transform," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-18, March.
    13. Zhang, Hanxiao & Sun, Muxia & Li, Yan-Fu, 2022. "Reliability–redundancy allocation problem in multi-state flow network: Minimal cut-based approximation scheme," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    14. Tosoni, E. & Salo, A. & Govaerts, J. & Zio, E., 2019. "Comprehensiveness of scenarios in the safety assessment of nuclear waste repositories," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 561-573.
    15. Rocco, Claudio M. & Moronta, José & Ramirez-Marquez, José E. & Barker, Kash, 2017. "Effects of multi-state links in network community detection," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 46-56.
    16. Compare, Michele & Bellani, Luca & Zio, Enrico, 2019. "Optimal allocation of prognostics and health management capabilities to improve the reliability of a power transmission network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 164-180.
    17. Babykina, Génia & Brînzei, Nicolae & Aubry, Jean-François & Deleuze, Gilles, 2016. "Modeling and simulation of a controlled steam generator in the context of dynamic reliability using a Stochastic Hybrid Automaton," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 115-136.
    18. Compare, Michele & Bellani, Luca & Zio, Enrico, 2017. "Reliability model of a component equipped with PHM capabilities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 4-11.
    19. Ferdinando Chiacchio & Fabio Famoso & Diego D’Urso & Sebastian Brusca & Jose Ignacio Aizpurua & Luca Cedola, 2018. "Dynamic Performance Evaluation of Photovoltaic Power Plant by Stochastic Hybrid Fault Tree Automaton Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    20. Shiyu Chen & Wei Wang & Enrico Zio, 2021. "A Simulation-Based Multi-Objective Optimization Framework for the Production Planning in Energy Supply Chains," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-27, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:ijsaem:v:8:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s13198-016-0563-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.