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Nonparametric estimation for uncertain differential equations

Author

Listed:
  • Liu He

    (Nanjing University of Science and Technology)

  • Yuanguo Zhu

    (Nanjing University of Science and Technology)

  • Yajing Gu

    (Nanjing University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

In recent years, the researches on parameter estimation of uncertain differential equations have developed significantly. However, when we deal with some nonparametric uncertain differential equations, the parameter estimation may not be used directly. To deal with these uncertain differential equations, it is important to consider the nonparametric estimation with the help of the observations. As an important branch of uncertain differential equation, autonomous uncertain differential equation may be properly applied to model some uncertain autonomous dynamic systems. In this paper, we propose a Legendre polynomial based method for the nonparametric estimation of autonomous uncertain differential equations. After that, some numerical examples are given and the residuals as well as uncertain hypothesis tests are used to prove the acceptability of these estimations. In application, we consider an atmospheric carbon dioxide model by the proposed method of nonparametric estimation.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu He & Yuanguo Zhu & Yajing Gu, 2023. "Nonparametric estimation for uncertain differential equations," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 697-715, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:fuzodm:v:22:y:2023:i:4:d:10.1007_s10700-023-09408-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10700-023-09408-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lifen Jia & Wei Chen, 2021. "Uncertain SEIAR model for COVID-19 cases in China," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 243-259, June.
    2. Yang Liu & Baoding Liu, 2022. "Residual analysis and parameter estimation of uncertain differential equations," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 513-530, December.
    3. Tingqing Ye & Baoding Liu, 2022. "Uncertain hypothesis test with application to uncertain regression analysis," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 157-174, June.
    4. Liu, Z., 2021. "Generalized moment estimation for uncertain differential equations," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 392(C).
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    7. Yang, Xiangfeng & Liu, Yuhan & Park, Gyei-Kark, 2020. "Parameter estimation of uncertain differential equation with application to financial market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
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