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A Note on the Impact of Structural Federal Budget Deficits on Commercial Bank Interest Rates, 1963-1994

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  • Richard J. Cebula

    (Georgia Institute of Technology)

Abstract

For the period 1963-1994, this study (a) empiracally investigates the impact of structural federal budget deficits on the commercial bank cost of deposits and prime rate of interest and (b) provides currentlupdated information through 1994 on this important policy issue of the interest rate impact of budget deficits. The instrumental variables estimates in this study, which are based in a loanable funds framework, find the cost of deposits at commercial banks to be an increasing function of the structural deficit but the prime rate at banks to be unaffected by the deficit. The former result has potential implications for crowding out.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard J. Cebula, 1997. "A Note on the Impact of Structural Federal Budget Deficits on Commercial Bank Interest Rates, 1963-1994," Public Finance Review, , vol. 25(4), pages 442-450, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:pubfin:v:25:y:1997:i:4:p:442-450
    DOI: 10.1177/109114219702500405
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Evans, Paul, 1985. "Do Large Deficits Produce High Interest Rates?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(1), pages 68-87, March.
    2. McMillin, W. Douglas, 1986. "Federal deficits and short-term interest rates," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 403-422.
    3. Hoelscher, Gregory, 1986. "New Evidence on Deficits and Interest Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 18(1), pages 1-17, February.
    4. Makin, John H, 1983. "Real Interest, Money Surprises, Anticipated Inflation and Fiscal Deficits," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 65(3), pages 374-384, August.
    5. James R. Barth & George Iden & Frank S. Russek, 1984. "Do Federal Deficits Really Matter?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 3(1), pages 79-95, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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