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Does the NCAA Coaching Carousel Hamper the Professional Prospects of College Football Recruits?


  • Philip L. Hersch


College football recruits choose their schools partly for the opportunity to play for a specific coach. It is not unusual for the coach who recruited the player to leave before the end of the player’s career. This article investigates whether these departures affect a player’s National Football League (NFL) draft prospects. Regression results indicate that, for players drafted, a coaching change drops the average draftee’s position nearly two thirds of a round, potentially costing the player hundreds of thousands of dollars in guaranteed money. This harmful effect holds regardless of why the coach left, such as being fired or accepting a new position elsewhere.

Suggested Citation

  • Philip L. Hersch, 2012. "Does the NCAA Coaching Carousel Hamper the Professional Prospects of College Football Recruits?," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 13(1), pages 20-33, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:jospec:v:13:y:2012:i:1:p:20-33

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    coaching carousel; college football; NFL draft; NCAA;


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