IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/jocore/v19y1975i2p187-216.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Measuring Systemic Polarity

Author

Listed:
  • Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

    (Department of Political Science University of Rochester)

Abstract

Indicators of the tightness and discreteness of poles in the international system, as well as of the distribution of capabilities and interaction opportunities among poles, are developed. With alliance bonds as the focus, scores for each indicator are presented for each year of the past century and a half, and several prevalent theories linking polarity to war are tested. The amount of major power war begun during five-year periods is found to be unrelated to the tightness of the poles, although increases in tightness are substantially associated with large amounts of war. Bipolar systems are found to experience less war than multipolar systems, with increases in the number of clusters being especially strongly associated with the amount of major power war during subsequent five-year periods. Neither changes in the discreteness nor the distribution of capabilities among the poles has any appreciable effect on the amount of major power war.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, 1975. "Measuring Systemic Polarity," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 19(2), pages 187-216, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:19:y:1975:i:2:p:187-216
    DOI: 10.1177/002200277501900201
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/002200277501900201
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/002200277501900201?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Masters, Roger D., 1961. "A Multi-Bloc Model of The International System," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(4), pages 780-798, December.
    2. Alker, Hayward R., 1964. "Dimensions of Conflict in the General Assembly," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 58(3), pages 642-657, September.
    3. Haas, Michael, 1970. "International Subsystems: Stability and Polarity," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 64(1), pages 98-123, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Robert A. Hart & William Reed, 1999. "Selection effects and dispute escalation: Democracy and status quo evaluations," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 243-263, March.
    2. C. Umana Dajud, 2013. "Political Proximity and International Trade," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 283-312, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Michael Barkun, 1964. "Conflict resolution through implicit mediation," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 8(2), pages 121-130, June.
    2. Wolfram F. Hanrieder, 1965. "The international system: bipolar or multibloc?," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 9(3), pages 299-308, September.
    3. Grace Iusi Scarborough, 1988. "Polarity, Power, and Risk in International Disputes," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 32(3), pages 511-533, September.
    4. Doris A. Graber, 1969. "Perceptions of Middle East conflict in the UN, 1953 -1965," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 13(4), pages 454-484, December.
    5. Kevin Sweeney & Omar M.G. Keshk, 2005. "the Similarity of States: Using S to Compute Dyadic Interest Similarity," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 22(2), pages 165-187, April.
    6. Simon Hug & Richard Lukács, 2014. "Preferences or blocs? Voting in the United Nations Human Rights Council," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 83-106, March.
    7. Jon A. Christopherson, 1976. "Structural Analysis of Transaction Systems," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 20(4), pages 637-662, December.
    8. David P. Rapkin & William R. Thompson & Jon A. Christopherson, 1979. "Bipolarity and Bipolarization in the Cold War Era," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 23(2), pages 261-295, June.
    9. Alan Ned Sabrosky, 1975. "From Bosnia to Sarajevo," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 19(1), pages 3-24, March.
    10. Robert M. Rosh, 1988. "Third World Militarization," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 32(4), pages 671-698, December.
    11. Erich Weede, 1981. "Preventing War by Nuclear Deterrence or by Détente," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 6(1), pages 1-18, September.
    12. Richard J. Stoll, 1984. "Bloc Concentration and the Balance of Power," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(1), pages 25-50, March.
    13. Manus I. Midlarsky, 1974. "Power, Uncertainty, and the Onset of International Violence," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 18(3), pages 395-431, September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:19:y:1975:i:2:p:187-216. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://pss.la.psu.edu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.