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Prospects of African Integration in Light of the Theory of Optimum Currency Areas

Author

Listed:
  • Horváth, Július

    (Southern Illinois University and CERGE-EI, Pragu)

  • Grabowski, Richard

    (Southern Illinois University)

Abstract

This paper empirically addresses the question of the prospects of integration among African states in light of Mundell’s theory of optimum currency areas. The symmetry and asymmetry of shocks affecting African countries is measured by a structural vector autoregression decomposition method developed by Blan - chard and Quah [1989] and Bayoumi and Eichengreen [1992]. The results indicate that the scope for such integration is quite limited. Asymmetry of supply shocks prevails throughout Africa and especially in its Eastern part. On the other hand, we found that there are groups of countries in Northern Africa, Western Africa and Southern Africa which share symmetric demand shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Horváth, Július & Grabowski, Richard, 1997. "Prospects of African Integration in Light of the Theory of Optimum Currency Areas," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 12, pages 1-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0036
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Marcelin W. Diagne, 2019. "The West African Economic and Monetary Union: Optimality Revisited," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(3), pages 541-549, September.
    2. Chrysost Bangake & Jean-Baptiste Desquilbet & Nabil Jedlane, 2006. "Régimes de change pour les petits pays," Post-Print halshs-00225016, HAL.
    3. Onyeaka, Keleenna & Agbugba, Ikechi Kelechi & Iheonu, Chimere Okechukwu, . "Ditch the NAIRA and Champion the ECO? A Post-Forex Crisis Assessment," Journal of Economic and Sustainable Growth 3, Office Of The Chief Economist, Development Bank of Nigeria, vol. 1.
    4. Horvath, Julius & Ratfai, Attila, 2004. "Supply and demand shocks in accession countries to the Economic and Monetary Union," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 202-211, June.
    5. Adom, Assandé Désiré & Sharma, Subhash C. & Morshed, A.K.M. Mahbub, 2010. "Economic integration in Africa," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 245-253, August.
    6. Changmo AHN & Hong‐Bum KIM & Dongkoo CHANG, 2006. "Is East Asia Fit For An Optimum Currency Area? An Assessment Of The Economic Feasibility Of A Higher Degree Of Monetary Cooperation In East Asia," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 44(3), pages 288-305, September.
    7. Horvath, Julius, 2003. "Optimum currency area theory: A selective review," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2003, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    8. Nephil Matangi Maskay, 2001. "South Asian Monetary Integration in Light of the Optimum Currency Area Criterion of Patterns of Shocksâ€," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 2(2), pages 203-219, September.
    9. Xavier Debrun & Paul R. Masson & Catherine Pattillo, 2019. "Should African Monetary Unions Be Expanded? An Empirical Investigation of the Scope for Monetary Integration in Sub-Saharan Africa," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Macroeconomic Modelling and Monetary and Exchange Rate Regimes, chapter 6, pages 195-242, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    10. Alberto Coco & Andrea Silvestrini, 2017. "The nature and propagation of shocks in the euro area: a comparative SVAR analysis," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(1/2), pages 95-114.
    11. Ishaq Maryam & Atiq Ur Rehman Muhammad, 2013. "Surmounting the Individual: Establishing a Common Currency in Asia – A Case Study of East Asian Economies," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 63-88, January.
    12. Mkenda, Beatrice Kalinda, 2001. "Is East Africa an Optimum Currency Area?," Working Papers in Economics 41, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    African; Integration;

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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