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Quantitative Easing and the U.S. Stock Market: A Decision Tree Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Ramaprasad Bhar

    (University of New South Wales)

  • A.G. Malliaris

    (Loyola University Chicago)

  • Mary Malliaris

    (Loyola University Chicago)

Abstract

"The Financial Crisis of 2007-09 caused the U.S. economy to experience a relatively long recession from December 2007 to June 2009. Both the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve undertook expansive fiscal and monetary policies to minimize both the severity and length of the recession. Most notably, the Federal Reserve initiated three rounds of unconventional monetary policies known as Quantitative Easing. These policies were intended to reduce long-term interest rates when the short term federal funds rates had reached the zero lower bound and could not become negative. It was argued that the lowering of longer-term interest rates would help the stock market and thus the wealth of consumers. This paper investigates this hypothesis and concludes that quantitative easing has contributed to the observed increases in the stock market’s significant recovery since its crash due to the financial crisis."

Suggested Citation

  • Ramaprasad Bhar & A.G. Malliaris & Mary Malliaris, 2015. "Quantitative Easing and the U.S. Stock Market: A Decision Tree Analysis," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, vol. 7(2), pages 135-156, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ren:journl:v:7:y:2015:i:2:p:135-156
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Chang & Hu, Zhenhua & Li, Yan & Liu, Shaojun, 2017. "Forecasting copper prices by decision tree learning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 427-434.
    2. Rhea Choudhary, 2022. "Analysing the spillover effects of the South African Reserve Banks bond purchase programme," Working Papers 11025, South African Reserve Bank.
    3. Rhea Choudhary, 2022. "AnalysingthespillovereffectsoftheSouthAfricanReserveBanksbondpurchaseprogramme," Working Papers 11039, South African Reserve Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quantitative Easing; Decision Tree; Stock Market; S&P 500 Index; 10 Year Notes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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