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« Les disparitions de firmes industrielles en France : un modèle économétrique »

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  • Luc Marco
  • Michel Rainelli

Abstract

[fre] La disparition des entreprises par faillite est le plus souvent analysée au niveau de la gestion ou de la macroéconomie, une troisième approche est ici retenue : le niveau sectoriel de l'Industrie stricto sensu. A partir des contributions antérieures sont dégagées les variables d'un modèle en coupe avec décalages temporels, que l'on applique aux 32 secteurs industriels sur la période 1980-1983. Les résultats montrent qu'il existe un risque de faillite indépendant de l'activité exercée. La meilleure variable explicative est le taux de création d'entreprises trois ans auparavant. [eng] The disappearance of entreprises by business failure is mostly studied on the level of Management or Macroeconomics. A third approach is retained here : the sectorial level of the Industry stricto sensu. From previous analysis the variables of a transverse model with temporal lags are set up, and applied on 32 industrial sectors for the 1980-1983 period. The results indicate the existence of a failure risk independent of the practiced activity. The best variable is the rate of firm's creation three years before.

Suggested Citation

  • Luc Marco & Michel Rainelli, 1986. "« Les disparitions de firmes industrielles en France : un modèle économétrique »," Revue d'Économie Industrielle, Programme National Persée, vol. 36(1), pages 1-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:recind:rei_0154-3229_1986_num_36_1_2173
    DOI: 10.3406/rei.1986.2173
    Note: DOI:10.3406/rei.1986.2173
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    Cited by:

    1. Blazy, Régis & Esquerré, Stéphane, 2021. "The CV effect: To what extent does the chance to reorganize depend on a bankruptcy judge’s profile?," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Régis BLAZY & Stéphane ESQUERRE, 2019. "The CV effect: How far do the chances to reorganize depend on the bankruptcy judges’ profile?," Working Papers of LaRGE Research Center 2019-07, Laboratoire de Recherche en Gestion et Economie (LaRGE), Université de Strasbourg.
    3. Jean Bonnet & Patricia Renou-Maissant, 2000. "La régulation macro-économique et sectorielle de la démographie d'entreprises," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 145(4), pages 19-40.
    4. Régis Blazy, 1996. "Mimétisme, erreurs d'anticipation de la demande et risque de défaillance des entreprises industrielles en France : un modèle économétrique à correction d'erreur," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 125(4), pages 1-18.

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