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Is There Job Polarization in Developing Economies? A Review and Outlook

Author

Listed:
  • Antonio Martins-Neto
  • Nanditha Mathew
  • Pierre Mohnen
  • Tania Treibich

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the evidence of job polarization—the relative decline of mid-wage jobs—in developing and emerging economies. We carry out an extensive literature review, revealing that job polarization in these countries is only incipient compared to advanced economies. We then examine the possible moderating aspects explaining this lack of job polarization. We distinguish three groups of explanations: Limited technology adoption; structural change; and changes in the global value chains. Finally, we suggest new microeconomic data and empirical analyses that should be developed in order to guide evidence-based policy-making addressing those issues in developing and emerging economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio Martins-Neto & Nanditha Mathew & Pierre Mohnen & Tania Treibich, 2024. "Is There Job Polarization in Developing Economies? A Review and Outlook," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 39(2), pages 259-288.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:wbrobs:v:39:y:2024:i:2:p:259-288.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/wbro/lkad008
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    Cited by:

    1. Didier, Nicolas, 2024. "Turning fragments into a lens: Technological change, industrial revolutions, and labor," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Antonio Martins-Neto & Xavier Cirera & Alex Coad, 2024. "Routine-biased technological change and employee outcomes after mass layoffs: evidence from Brazil," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 33(3), pages 555-583.
    3. Mariia Vasiakina & Christian Dudel, 2024. "From efficiency to illness: do highly automatable jobs take a toll on health in Germany?," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2024-041, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    4. Mariia Vasiakina & Christian Dudel, 2025. "The hidden costs of technological change: investigating pathways through which highly automatable jobs undermine workers’ health in Germany," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2025-032, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    5. Mariia Vasiakina & Christian Dudel, 2025. "The glass is half empty: the role of highly automatable jobs in shaping drinking behaviors in Russia," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2025-027, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    6. Harry Moroz & Mariana Viollaz, 2024. "The Future of Work in Central America and the Dominican Republic," World Bank Publications - Reports 42043, The World Bank Group.
    7. Eric Rougier & Matthieu Clément & François Combarnous & Dominique Darbon, 2025. "“You Can't Always Get What You Want”: Middle‐Class Expectations and Incomplete Social Contracts in the Global South," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 78(4), pages 1463-1478, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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